::: TSR Weekly Report
2021-04-03 | NO.45(14) epaper |
Recent Publication
Richard C. Bush, Difficult Choices: Taiwan's Quest for Security and the Good Life (Brookings Institution Press)

Lowell Dittmer, China's Political Economy in the Xi Jinping Epoch: Domestic and Global Dimensions (World Scientific) 
Cross-Strait Relations
Why the Taiwanese Are Still at Ease in Face of Impending Danger (2021-03-14)
(United Daily News, By Su Chi) Recently, more and more Cassandras appeared worldwide. The research reports of foreign governments, Legislatures, and think tanks that I have collected could easily pile up to a person’s height. Former National Security Advisor H. R. McMaster under President Trump even called the months between the Winter Olympics in February 2022 to the Chinese Communist Party Congress scheduled for the year-end Taiwan’s "period of greatest danger." Still, the people of Taiwan seemed completely indifferent. Why?

KMT Chair Proposes Updated '1992 Consensus' with Emphasis on ROC
(CNA, By Liu Kuan-ting, Wang Cheng-chung, and Matthew Mazzetta) Johnny Chiang (江啟臣), chairman of the opposition Kuomintang (KMT), said this week that his party had updated its approach to the "1992 consensus" by placing greater emphasis on the Republic of China (ROC) as a political entity, but he offered few details on how it would differ in substance.

U.S. Human Rights Report Cites Chinese Pressure on Taiwan Media
(CNA, By Stacy Hsu and Elizabeth Hsu) The United States Department of State has accused China of trying to influence Taiwanese media outlets by pressuring them financially and targeting Taiwanese journalists with cyberattacks. Link to full report from US Department of State.

U.S.-Taiwan Relations
U.S. Palau Ambassador's Visit to Taiwan Reflects Proactive U.S. Policy (2021-03-29)
(CNA, By Matt Yu and Chiang Yi-ching) U.S. Ambassador to Palau John Hennessey-Niland, who is among a visiting delegation of the president of Palau, is the first U.S. ambassador to visit Taiwan in over 40 years, signalling that U.S. policy toward Taiwan is becoming more proactive, local scholars said Sunday.

Taiwan Hints at Coast Guard Alliance with U.S., Palau (2021-03-30)
(CNA, By Chung Yu-chen and Emerson Lim) A tripartite Coast Guard alliance between Taiwan, Palau and the United States is being formed, Foreign Minister Joseph Wu (吳釗燮) hinted Tuesday in the presence of American's top envoys in Taiwan and Palau.

U.S., Taiwan Hold Forum on Expanding Taiwan's Global Participation (2021-04-01)
(CNA, By Chung Yu-chen and Emerson Lim) A high-level virtual forum was convened by Taiwan and the United States on Tuesday to discuss the expansion of Taiwan's participation in organizations under the United Nations and other international fora.

US, Australia Discuss Taiwan Defense (2021-04-02)
(Taipei Times with Bloomberg) The US is undertaking “strategic planning” with ally Australia to consider potential joint responses to a war over Taiwan, US President Joe Biden’s top diplomat in Canberra said yesterday.

US Reiterates Commitment to Improving Taiwan Ties (2021-04-03)
(Taipei Times/CNA) The US on Thursday reiterated its commitment to deepening ties with Taiwan, saying that it would consider opportunities for mutual visits by senior officials to advance the relationship.
Taiwan's Domestic Politics and Foreign Relations
Taiwan's Domestic Politics
Taiwan Mass Producing New Long-Range Missile (2021-03-29)
(The Diplomat, By Steven Stashwick) The announcement followed January tests and included news of three more missiles in development.

Taiwan's Foreign Relations 
China's Carrot & Stick Approach Counter-Productive: Palau President (2021-03-29)
(CNA, By Emerson Lim) Palau President Surangel Whipps Jr. had some strong words for Beijing's diplomatic tactics on a visit to Taiwan and was critical of the carrot and stick approach it uses in trying to undermine Taiwan's diplomatic alliances.

France Mulls Taiwan-Friendly Bill
(Taipei Times/CNA, By Jake Chung) French senators have sponsored a bill that seeks to impress upon the French government the benefits of supporting the inclusion of Taiwan in international bodies.
U.S.-China Relations
Blinken Reaffirms Trump-Era Ruling on Hong Kong Autonomy (2021-03-31)
(Associated Press, By Matthew Lee) Secretary of State Antony Blinken on Wednesday reaffirmed a determination made last year by the Trump administration that Hong Kong is no longer autonomous and remains undeserving of special treatment by the United States.

Biden Looks to Contain China—but Where’s the Asian NATO? (2021-03-29)
(Foreign Policy, By Jack Detsch) The United States needs a game plan for a continent that’s home to two-thirds of the world’s population and its biggest rival.

Trump Got China All Wrong. Now Biden Is Too. (2021-03-29)
(Foreign Policy, By Zachary Karabell) Confrontation may be popular at home, but it won’t make the United States more prosperous or secure.

The U.S. Doesn’t Need China’s Collapse to Win (2021-03-29)
(Foreign Policy, By Robert A. Manning) A misguided theory of great-power competition will only lead to grief.

How Will We Win the Second Cold War? (2021-03-29)
(New York Times, By Bret Stephens) As we imagine how we might bring a Second Cold War to a peaceful end, it helps to consider how China’s regime could become a partner in its own undoing.

What’s Missing in the New Cold War Stories? (2021-03-29)
(The Diplomat, By Jacob Parakilas) Many are warning of how China might win a war with the U.S. But they play down the much more likely way the two could damage each other’s interests.

Can the US and China Agree to Disagree? (2021-03-29)
(The Diplomat, By Sara Hsu) Talks are a necessary but not sufficient step for repairing the China-U.S. relationship.

China Bashes US Over Racism, Inequality, Pandemic Response (2021-03-29)
(The Diplomat, By Ken Moritsugu) Beijing’s annual report on U.S. human rights violations took aim at systemic racial and economic inequality, among other issues.
China's Domestic Politics and Foreign Relations
China's Domestic Politics
Beijing’s Schadenfreude Over the Capitol Riots Conceals Deep Anxiety (2021-03-29)
(Foreign Policy, B Joshuar Eisenman, Haley Grizzell) China’s elite are nervous about the coming succession crisis around Xi Jinping.

How China’s Outrage Machine Kicked Up a Storm Over H&M (2021-03-29)
(New York Times, By Raymond Zhong and Paul Mozur) The crisis the apparel brands now face is familiar to many foreign businesses in China. The Communist Party for years has used the country’s giant consumer market to force international companies to march in step with its political sensibilities, or at least not to contest them openly.

7 Hong Kong Democracy Leaders Convicted as China Clamps Down (2021-04-01)
(Associated Press, By Zen Soo) Seven of Hong Kong’s leading pro-democracy advocates, including a media tycoon and an 82-year-old veteran of the movement, were convicted Thursday for organizing and participating in a march during massive anti-government protests in 2019 that triggered a crackdown on dissent.

China's Foreign Relations 
Faced with sanctions and condemnation from the West, China becomes bedfellows with Russia (2021-03-29)
(Washington Post, By Gerry Shih) Two months into the Biden presidency, the administration’s strategy of rallying U.S. allies to pressure China is already yielding visible results. But the tactic is pushing Beijing to cement ties with its own partners, which represent some of the most vexing geopolitical regions facing successive U.S. presidents: Russia, North Korea, Iran.

China, With $400 Billion Iran Deal, Could Deepen Influence in Mideast (2021-03-27)
(New York Times, By Farnaz Fassihi and Steven Lee Myers) China agreed to invest $400 billion in Iran over 25 years in exchange for a steady supply of oil to fuel its growing economy under a sweeping economic and security agreement signed on Saturday.

China’s Foreign Minister Heads to the Middle East (2021-03-29)
(The Diplomat, By Shannon Tiezzi) Wang Yi’s six-country tour highlights the region’s expanding importance for China.

China Pressures Brands to Reject Reports of Xinjiang Abuses
(Associated Press, By Emily Wang Fujiyama) China stepped up pressure Monday on foreign shoe and clothing brands to reject reports of abuses in Xinjiang, telling companies that are targeted by Beijing for boycotts to look more closely and pointing to a statement by one that it found no forced labor.

Joint Xinjiang Sanctions Widen Rift in China’s Ties With the West (2021-03-29)
(The Diplomat, By Jessie Lau) The European Union, the United States, the United Kingdom, and Canada rolled out coordinated sanctions, and Beijing hit back in a “disproportionate” response.

China’s EU Sanctions Are the Latest Proof: Beijing Doesn’t Understand Democracies (2021-03-29)
(The Diplomat, By Andreea Brînză) Once again, Beijing has misunderstood the functioning of democratic institutions. It’s part of a long-standing pattern of missteps.

BBC Correspondent Leaves China, Citing Growing Risks (2021-04-01)
(New York Times, By Amy Qin) The departures of Mr. Sudworth and Ms. Murray are part of a larger recent exodus of foreign journalists from China. Last year, the Chinese government expelled around 15 correspondents for American news organizations, including The New York Times, The Wall Street Journal and the Washington Post. Some of the expulsions were framed as retaliation for the Trump administration’s move to restrict the number of Chinese journalists allowed to work in the United States.

Paraguay Says Chinese Brokers Offered Vaccines for Diplomatic Recognition (2021-03-29)
(The Diplomat, By Nick Aspinwall) Paraguay’s foreign ministry said brokers offered doses of Chinese COVID-19 vaccines in exchange for the country breaking its diplomatic ties with Taiwan.
Military Balance
Chinese Military Planes Enter Taiwan's ADIZ for 17th Day in March (2021-03-29)
(CNA, By Joseph Yeh) A total of 10 Chinese military aircraft entered Taiwan's southwest air defense identification zone (ADIZ) on Monday, the 17th day on which such intrusions have occurred in March alone.

Chinese Anti-Submarine Plane Intrudes into Taiwan's ADIZ (2021-04-03)
(CNA, By Chung Yu-chen and Ko Lin) A Chinese military Y-8 anti-submarine aircraft entered Taiwan's southwest air defense identification zone (ADIZ) on Saturday, but left the area after Taiwan scrambled fighter jets in response to the intrusion, the Ministry of National Defense (MND) said.

Taiwan to Buy Upgraded PAC3 Missiles, to Be Deployed By 2026
(CNA, By Matt Yu and Joseph Yeh) Taiwan's military has decided to buy an upgraded version of the Patriot missile from the U.S. to counter China's growing threat against the country, according to a Ministry of National Defense (MND) report on Wednesday.

Chinese Drones Spotted Recently Over Taiwan's Dongsha Islands (2021-04-01)
(CNA, By Matt Yu and Ko Lin) The Coast Guard Administration (CGA) on Thursday said China was likely conducting reconnaissance missions over the Dongsha Islands, as its drones were recently spotted near the Taiwan-held territory in the South China Sea.

Taiwan Says European Countries Helping with Submarine Project (2021-04-02)
(Reuters) European countries are providing help for Taiwan’s indigenous submarine project, the island’s defence ministry said, in a rare admission that the sensitive programme is not getting assistance solely from the United States.

Decoding the Chinese Navy’s Annual High Sea Joint Training Exercises (2021-03-29)
(The Diplomat, By Lu Li-shih) This year’s exercises, similar in many ways to previous editions, are nonetheless significant.

David vs Goliath: How Space-Based Assets Can Give Taiwan an Edge (2021-03-29)
(The Diplomat, By Jason Wang and Mark Matossian) SAR technology will be crucial in Indo-Pacific asymmetric conflicts – especially for Taiwan.
Regional Issues
Philippines Deploys More Patrol Ships Amid Rift With China (2021-03-29)
(The Diplomat, By Jim Gomez) Manila is beefing up its “maritime sovereignty patrols” in the disputed South China Sea.

With Swarms of Ships, Beijing Tightens Its Grip on South China Sea (2021-04-03)
(New York Times, By Steven Lee Myers and Jason Gutierrez) Not long ago, China asserted its claims on the South China Sea by building and fortifying artificial islands in waters also claimed by Vietnam, the Philippines and Malaysia. Its strategy now is to reinforce those outposts by swarming the disputed waters with vessels, effectively defying the other countries to expel them.

South Korean Foreign Minister Meets Chinese Counterpart (2021-04-03)
(Associated Press, By Zen Soo and Kim Tong-Hyung) South Korea’s foreign minister met his Chinese counterpart in the southern Chinese city of Xiamen on Saturday, as Seoul seeks to improve ties with its top trading partner even as U.S.-China relations remain strained. Ahead of the trip, South Korea’s newly appointed Foreign Minister Chung Eui-yong told reporters that he expected North Korea to be a key issue in talks with Wang Yi.

Why Did North Korea Sever Diplomatic Ties With Malaysia? (2021-03-29)
(The Diplomat, By Adam Leong Kok Wey) The move should be interpreted in the context of the DPRK’s fraught relationship with the United States.

Japan Faces Pressure to Take Part in Sanctions on China (2021-03-30)
(Taipei Times with Bloomberg) Japanese Prime Minister Yoshihide Suga is under pressure to join other major democracies in imposing sanctions on China over human rights breaches as he prepares for his first face-to-face summit with US President Joe Biden.

The Quad: What It Is – And What It Is Not (2021-03-29)
(The Diplomat, By Sumitha Narayanan Kutty and Rajesh Basrur) The Quad is no Asian NATO. And that may be its greatest strength.

Myanmar Death Toll Tops 500 as Protesters Defy Junta's Forces (2021-03-29)
(Reuters) Myanmar’s security forces have killed at least 510 civilians in nearly two months of efforts to stop protests against a Feb. 1 coup, an advocacy group said on Monday, as thousands of people took to the streets again despite the growing toll.

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Recent Publication Richard C. Bush, Difficult Choices: Taiwan's Quest for Security and the Good Life (Brookings Institution Press)
Recent Publication Lowell Dittmer, China's Political Economy in the Xi Jinping Epoch: Domestic and Global Dimensions (World Scientific)
Recent Publication Dafydd Fell, Taiwan's Green Parties: Alternative Politics in Taiwan (Routledge)
Recent Publication Lawrence C. Reardon, A Third Way: The Origins of China's Current Economic Development Strategy (Harvard University Press)
Recent Publication Dan Blumenthal, The China Nightmare: The Grand Ambitions of a Decaying State (AEI Press) (Book Review)
Recent Publication Kerry Gershaneck, Political Warfare: Strategies for Combating China’s Plan to 'Win Without Fighting (Marine Corps University Press) (Book Review)
Recent Publication Mei-Fang Fan, Deliberative Democracy in Taiwan: A Deliberative Systems Perspective (Routledge)
Recent Publication John F. Copper, Taiwan's Politics in Action: Struggling to Win at the Ballot Box (World Scientific)
Recent Publication Kingsley Edney, Stanley Rosen, and Ying Zhu, Soft Power With Chinese Characteristics: China’s Campaign for Hearts and Minds (1st Edition) (Routledge) (Book Review)
TSR received a favorable review by the Foreign Affairs (July/Aug 2000)
The Best of Asia-Pacific Web Award
TSR was honored with a Four-Star rating by the Asian Studies WWW Virtual Library. 

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