::: TSR Weekly Report
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2020-07-11 | NO.44(25) epaper |
Note to Readers
Forthcoming Publication Mei-Fang Fan, Deliberative Democracy in Taiwan: A Deliberative Systems Perspective (Routledge)
Cross-Strait Relations
Fait Accompli: New Codeword on Taiwan Security (2020-06-28)
(UDN, By Su Chi) Senator Josh Hawley recently proposed a bill “Taiwan Defense Act” in the US Senate, asking the US to maintain the ability to deny a fait accompli by the People’s Republic of China against Taiwan. When the Tsai Ing-wen administration expresses its gratitude, it should also pay close attention to the new codeword therein on Taiwan’s security: “fait accompli.” <Accessed 2020-07-09> 

Taiwan Will Counter New Rule in HK Security Law If Necessary: Tsai (2020-07-07)
(CNA, By Wu Po-wei, Yen Su-ping, Lai Yen-hsi, Elizabeth Hsu, and Joseph Yeh) President Tsai Ing-wen (蔡英文) said Tuesday that if necessary, her administration will consider countermeasures to the newly implemented rules under Hong Kong's national security law, which state that authorities there can ask Taiwanese "political groups" to provide evidence in the investigation of potential violators. <Accessed 2020-07-10>

Groups Call on Parties to Back Name Change (2020-07-07)
(Taipei Times, By Chen Yu-fu) An alliance of pro-Taiwan organizations yesterday issued a joint statement calling for bipartisan support in the Legislative Yuan to change the nation’s official name, along with the names of government agencies, to draw a distinction between Taiwan and China. <Accessed 2020-07-10>

Taiwan Slams Chinese Criticism of Somaliland Ties (2020-07-07)
(CNA, By Emerson Lim) The Ministry of Foreign Affairs (MOFA) on Tuesday reemphasized that Taiwan is not part of China and has every right to pursue relations with other countries, following Beijing's criticism of the nation's establishment of ties with Somaliland. <Accessed 2020-07-10>

Why Taiwan’s Assistance to Hong Kong Matters (2020-07-08)
(Foreign Policy, By Sheena Chestnut Greitens, Aram Hur) Taiwan’s government is signaling its status as a regional beacon for democracy and human rights—in contrast to South Korea, which frames assistance to North Korean refugees as helping ethnic brethren. <Accessed 2020-07-08>

Hong Kong National Security Law: The View From Taiwan (2020-07-08)
(The Diplomat, By T.Y. Wang) China’s new national security legislation for Hong Kong will only harden Taiwan citizens’ determination to resist Beijing’s unification offer. <Accessed 2020-07-08>

Is Taiwan the Next Hong Kong? (2020-07-08)
(Foreign Affairs, By Michael Green and Evan Medeiros) Unless the United States demonstrates the resolve and ability to resist Chinese coercion and aggression, China’s leaders may eventually conclude that the risks and the costs of future military action against Taiwan are low—or at least tolerable. <Accessed 2020-07-09>

Undeterred by Coronavirus, China Takes Influence Campaign Online to Win Taiwan Hearts (2020-07-09)
(Reuters, By Yimou Lee) As the coronavirus pandemic all but halts travel across the Taiwan Strait, China is taking its campaign pushing for “reunification” with Taiwan to the virtual world of live broadcasts, online conferences and video-making competitions. <Accessed 2020-07-10>

Experts Disagree on National Defense (2020-07-11)
(Taipei Times, By Wu Su-wei and Jake Chung) Taiwanese national defense experts are split on how Taiwan should respond to the ever-growing budget of the Chinese People’s Liberation Army (PLA), with some advocating for Taiwan to increase defense spending, while others say that little can be done. <Accessed 2020-07-12>

Taiwan Might Be China’s Next Target, Academic Says (2020-07-11)
(Taipei Times/CNA, By Jake Chung) Taiwan might be China’s next target after it has “walled off” Hong Kong from the rest of the world with its new national security legislation, Academia Sinica Institute of Sociology fellow Wu Jieh-min (吳介民) said on Thursday. <Accessed 2020-07-12>
U.S.-Taiwan Relations
Thousands Celebrate U.S. Independence Day at Baseball Game in Tainan (2020-07-05)
(CNA, By Chang Jong-hsiang, Emerson Lim, Yang Chi-fang, and William Yen) Over 5,000 people packed a stadium in Tainan on Saturday to watch a pro baseball game and celebrate the United States' July 4 Independence Day. The event, dubbed America Day: Home Run!, was hosted by the American Institute in Taiwan (AIT), the Tainan City government, and Uni-President Lions team. <Accessed 2020-07-06>

Reopening of Taiwan Office in Guam Not Military-Related: MOFA (2020-07-09)
(CNA, By Chen Yun-yu and Emerson Lim) Taiwan's decision to reopen its representative office in Guam was not based on military considerations, the Ministry of Foreign Affairs (MOFA) said Thursday, following analyses to the contrary by security experts. <Accessed 2020-07-10>

U.S. Approves $620 Million Missile Upgrade Package for Taiwan (2020-07-09)
(Reuters, By Ben Blanchard) The United States has approved a possible $620 million upgrade package for Patriot surface-to-air missiles to Taiwan, the State Department said, the latest purchase from the United States to deal with a rising threat from China. <Accessed 2020-07-10>

Taiwan's New Envoy to U.S. to Push for Trust-Based Partnership (2020-07-11)
(CNA, By Wen Kuei-hsiang, Yeh Su-ping, Chen Yun-yu, and Emerson Lim) Hsiao Bi-khim (蕭美琴), Taiwan's representative-designate to the United States, has vowed to develop a trust-based partnership with the U.S. on many fronts, especially in the area of technology security. <Accessed 2020-07-12>

What Does US Leaving the WHO Mean for Taiwan’s Campaign to Rejoin? (2020-07-11)
(South China Morning Post, By Lawrence Chung) As the US begins the process of withdrawing from the World Health Organisation, it raises a big question for Taiwan: where does this leave its bid to rejoin the WHO’s decision-making body? <Accessed 2020-07-13>
Taiwan's Domestic Politics and Foreign Relations
Taiwan's Domestic Politics

Tien Chung-kwang Named as Taiwan's New Deputy Foreign Minister (2020-07-09)
(CNA, By Chen Yun-yu and Matthew Mazzetta) Career diplomat Tien Chung-kwang (田中光) has been appointed as deputy foreign minister, filling a post that was left vacant when one of the two incumbents was appointed to the National Security Council, according to a press statement released Thursday by the Ministry of Foreign Affairs (MOFA). <Accessed 2020-07-10>

Legislature Okays Examination Yuan, NCC Nominees (2020-07-11)
(Taipei Times, By Sean Lin) The Legislative Yuan yesterday approved Examination Yuan and National Communications Commission (NCC) nominees after Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) lawmakers voted in favor of the nominations. <Accessed 2020-07-12>

Taiwan's Foreign Relations

Somaliland Appoints First Envoy to Taiwan (2020-07-05)
(CNA, By Chen Yun-yu and Emerson Lim) The self-declared African state of Somaliland has appointed senior diplomat Mohamed Omar Hagi Mohamoud as its first representative to Taiwan, according to a post on social media by Taiwan's Ministry of Foreign Affairs (MOFA) Saturday. <Accessed 2020-07-06>

Former Legislator Yu Mei-nu Conferred National Order of Merit by France (2020-07-09)
(CNA, By Chen Yun-yu and Emerson Lim) Yu Mei-nu (尤美女), a human rights lawyer and a former legislator of Taiwan's ruling Democratic Progressive Party, was conferred the National Order of Merit (Ordre national du Mérite), with the rank of knight, by the government of France on Thursday. <Accessed 2020-07-10>

Taiwan's Goal of Joining WHO 'Unchanged' After U.S. Withdrawal: MOFA (2020-07-09)
(CNA, By Emerson Lim and Ko Lin) Taiwan's goal of joining the World Health Organization (WHO), as well as attending its annual World Health Assembly (WHA), remains "unchanged" despite the United States' decision to withdraw from the global health body, the Ministry of Foreign Affairs (MOFA) reiterated on Thursday. <Accessed 2020-07-10>

Taiwan Donates 160,000 Face Masks to Canadian Missionary's Hometown (2020-07-09)
(CNA, By Hu Yu-li and Joseph Yeh) Taiwan's MacKay Memorial Hospital and New Taipei City's Tamsui District Office have recently donated 160,000 surgical face masks to Oxford County in Canada's Ontario Province, the hometown of late Canadian missionary George Leslie MacKay, who founded the hospital in Tamsui in the late 19th century. <Accessed 2020-07-10>

Calls for India to Play the Taiwan Card Grow Louder (2020-07-10)
(The Diplomat, By Rajeswari Pillai Rajagopalan) As tensions simmer between New Delhi and Beijing, some have called for India to focus on developing stronger relations with Taiwan. <Accessed 2020-07-10>
U.S.-China Relations
US Hits Chinese Officials with Visa Bans over Tibet Access (2020-07-07)
(Associated Press, By Matthew Lee) The statement by Secretary of State Mike Pompeo did not name any of those targeted nor did it give a number of those affected but said it the visa ban would be applied to Chinese government and communist party officials who are found to be “substantially involved in the formulation or execution of policies related to access for foreigners to Tibetan areas.” <Accessed 2020-07-10>

White House Warns Against Chinese Investment, Citing Risk of Further Sanctions (2020-07-07)
(New York Times, By Ana Swanson) Economic and security officials warned a federal fund against putting retirement savings in China at “a time of mounting uncertainty” for the relationship. <Accessed 2020-07-13>

China Is ‘Greatest Long-term Threat’ to the US, FBI Director Christopher Wray Says (2020-07-08)
(South China Morning Post, By Owen Churchill) China is seeking to become the world’s only superpower by usurping the United States with a government-directed “campaign of theft and malign influence”, the US Federal Bureau of Investigation (FBI) director said on Tuesday. <Accessed 2020-07-13>

How Trump is losing Asia
 (2020-07-08)
(Washington Post, By Robert D. Kaplan) There is now a feeling of exposure and loneliness among the United States’ Asian allies. For the first time since President Richard M. Nixon went to China in 1972, the United States’ bilateral relationship with China is both hostile and unpredictable, even as Washington has provided its friends in the region with less reassurance than at any time since the Korean War 70 years ago. <Accessed 2020-07-10>

Where the US-China Trade War Should Go From Here
 (2020-07-08)
(The Diplomat, By Mayaz Alam) More tariffs cannot be the answer amid the pandemic. <Accessed 2020-07-08>

Trump’s New Realism in China (2020-07-08)
(Foreign Policy, By Michael Auslin) Critics aside, the administration does have a strategy, and it is based on reciprocity. <Accessed 2020-07-08>

U.S. Imposes Sanctions on Chinese Officials Over Mass Detention of Muslims (2020-07-09)
(New York Times, By Pranshu Verma and Edward Wong) The measure, over human rights abuses against mainly the Uighur ethnic group, is likely to ratchet up tensions between Washington and Beijing. <Accessed 2020-07-13>

U.S. Carriers Send a Message to Beijing Over South China Sea (2020-07-10)
(Foreign Policy, By Jack Detsch) “China is just pushing on all fronts,” a former defense official told Foreign Policy. “I’m worried at some point that the dam is going to break somewhere.” <Accessed 2020-07-10>

The US-China Cold War Has Already Started (2020-07-10)
(The Diplomat, By Alan Dupont) The clashing geopolitical ambitions of the two states are fueling a rivalry that could be even more dangerous and consequential than the original Cold War. <Accessed 2020-07-10>

US-China Competition in Indo-Pacific a ‘Marathon, Not a Sprint’, Acting Assistant Secretary of Defence Says (2020-07-10)
(South China Morning Post, By Catherine Wong) Washington needs long-term strategies and “like-minded partners” to compete with Beijing in a “marathon” race to lead the international order, according to a senior US defence official. <Accessed 2020-07-13>
China's Domestic Politics and Foreign Relations
Mainland China

China’s Second Wave of Coronavirus Censorship Is Here (2020-07-08)
(Foreign Policy, By Tracy Wen Liu) After a brief period of praising whistleblowers, Beijing is targeting medical staff and COVID-19 victims again. <Accessed 2020-07-08>

China’s Superpower Dreams Are Running Out of Money (2020-07-08)
(Foreign Policy, By Salvatore Babones) When the coronavirus crisis is over, China will be forced to embrace a less ambitious future. <Accessed 2020-07-08>

Don’t Give Up on Chinese Democracy (2020-07-10)
(Foreign Policy, By Li Fan) Times are dark, but civil society is quietly growing. <Accessed 2020-07-10>

China Chip Expert Warns that Self-reliance in Semiconductors Will Be Tough, Needs Stable Investment (2020-07-10)
(South China Morning Post, By Che Pan) A prominent Chinese semiconductor expert has said that China’s deep integration with global technology supply chains would make it difficult for the country to develop all of the tech it needs from scratch and that better use of funds is needed to help close the gap with the US. <Accessed 2020-07-13>

Hong Kong and Macau

Hong Kong, Changed Overnight, Navigates Its New Reality (2020-07-05)
(New York Times, By Vivian Wang, Elaine Yu and Tiffany May) In a city where China has made some ideas suddenly dangerous, people are trying to figure out where the boundaries lie, and how their lives have changed. <Accessed 2020-07-13>

Which Countries Support the New Hong Kong National Security Law? (2020-07-08)
(The Diplomat, By Eleanor Albert) China rallied 53 countries to back the controversial law amid strong opposition from other governments. <Accessed 2020-07-08>

Countries Are Opening Their Doors for Hong Kong’s Exodus (2020-07-08)
(Foreign Policy, By Salvatore Babones) Britain, Taiwan, and many other countries are welcoming Hong Kongers as they scramble to leave before Beijing cracks down. <Accessed 2020-07-08>

Beijing’s Secret Police Rule Hong Kong Now (2020-07-08)
(Foreign Policy, By Doug Bandow) The new national security law effectively undercuts the city’s once great justice system. <Accessed 2020-07-08>

Hong Kong Police Raid Pollster on Eve of Pro-Democracy Camp Primary (2020-07-10)
(New York Times, By Tiffany May and Austin Ramzy) The investigation, which follows the imposition of a broad new national security law, raised fears of official interference in the voting. <Accessed 2020-07-13>

Australia Halts Hong Kong Extradition Agreement and Extends Visas (2020-07-09)
(New York Times, By Austin Ramzy) Prime Minister Scott Morrison said visas for Hong Kongers already in Australia would be lengthened by five years, and suggested businesses should move from the city to his country. <Accessed 2020-07-13>

Hong Kong Opposition Kicks Off Primary Elections under Shadow of Security Law (2020-07-11)
(Reuters, By Yanni Chow, Yoyo Chow, and Anne Marie Roantree) Hong Kong’s opposition camp set up polling booths across the Chinese-ruled city on Saturday for primary elections aimed at selecting democracy candidates who stand the best chance of success in Legislative Council elections in September. <Accessed 2020-07-12>

China's Foreign Relations

Indian, Chinese Soldiers Move Away from Site of Deadly Clash (2020-07-08)
(The Diplomat, By Aijaz Hussain, Emily Schmall and Sam McNeil) Satellite images appear to show the two sides drawing back from the site of last month’s deadly brawl. <Accessed 2020-07-08>

China Is NATO’s New Problem (2020-07-10)
(Foreign Policy, By Lauren Speranza) The alliance has been so focused on Moscow that it has missed Beijing’s growing clout across Europe. <Accessed 2020-07-10>

How China Is Dividing Britain’s Tories (2020-07-10)
(Foreign Policy, By David Hutt) The golden era of British-Chinese relations quickly eroded—left in its place is a Conservative Party deeply divided on how to approach Beijing. <Accessed 2020-07-10>

Multilateralism With Chinese Characteristics: Bringing in the Hub-and-Spoke (2020-07-10)
(The Diplomat, By Deep Pal and Suchet Vir Singh) Beyond capturing border territories and changing narratives, China wants to reshape global governance. New Delhi and the world must realize this. <Accessed 2020-07-10>

Defying U.S., China and Iran Near Trade and Military Partnership (2020-07-11)
(New York Times, By Farnaz Fassihi and Steven Lee Myers) The investment and security pact would vastly extend China’s influence in the Middle East, throwing Iran an economic lifeline and creating new flash points with the United States. <Accessed 2020-07-13>

China’s July Talks with Vatican Will Have Taiwan Looming in Background (2020-07-12)
(South China Morning Post, By Mimi Lau) The thorny issue is who holds authority to appoint bishops in China, but self-ruled Taiwan is also a key part of the diplomatic wrangling. <Accessed 2020-07-13>
Territorial Disputes, the Korean Peninsula, and Other Regional Issues
Territorial Disputes

With Beijing’s Military Nearby, U.S. Sends 2 Aircraft Carriers to South China Sea (2020-07-04)
(New York Times, By Lara Jakes) The deployment of an American aircraft carrier and its strike force is often used as a signal to deter adversaries. Deploying two at once is recognized as a significant show of force. <Accessed 2020-07-13>

Chinese Vessels Enter Senkaku Islands Territorial Sea for Longest Duration Since 2012. Why Now?
 (2020-07-08)
(The Diplomat, By Ankit Panda) According to the Japan Coast Guard, Chinese vessels remained in the territorial sea around the disputed islets for 30 hours. <Accessed 2020-07-08>

The Korean Peninsula

South Korea Wants Another Trump-Kim Summit. Would It Be Worthwhile? (2020-07-08)
(The Diplomat, By Dan DePetris) What could another summit accomplish at this point? <Accessed 2020-07-08>

Seoul Doubles Down on North Korea Gambit With National Security Reshuffle (2020-07-08)
(The Diplomat, By Tae-jun Kang) Moon Jae-in has put figures with long histories of engaging North Korea into top foreign policy and national security posts. <Accessed 2020-07-08>

Contact: James Lee, Senior Editor 

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Forthcoming Publication Mei-Fang Fan, Deliberative Democracy in Taiwan: A Deliberative Systems Perspective (Routledge)
Recent Publication Kerry Gershaneck, "To Win without Fighting: Defining China's Political Warfare" (Expeditions with Marine Corps University Press)
Recent Publication James Lee, "Did Thucydides Believe in Thucydides’ Trap? The History of the Peloponnesian War and Its Relevance to U.S.-China Relations" (Journal of Chinese Political Science)
Recent Publication James Lee, US grand strategy and the origins of the developmental state, Journal of Strategic Studies
Recent Publication Elizabeth Freund Larus, Politics and Society in Contemporary China, 2nd edition (Lynne Rienner Publishers)
Recent Publication John F. Copper, ""Cross-Strait Relations in the Wake of Taiwan’s January 2016 Election: Taiwan’s Narratives" in Chineseness and Modernity in a Changing China: Essays in Honour of Professor Wang Gungwu, edited by Yongnian Zheng and Litao Zhao (World Scientific)
Recent Publication James Lee, American Diplomacy and Export-Oriented Industrialization on Taiwan (Journal of East Asian Studies)
Recent Publication J. Michael Cole, Cross-Strait Relations Since 2016: The End of the Illusion (1st Edition) (Routledge)
Recent Publication Kingsley Edney, Stanley Rosen, and Ying Zhu, Soft Power With Chinese Characteristics: China’s Campaign for Hearts and Minds (1st Edition) (Routledge)
Recent Publication John Franklin Copper, Taiwan: Nation-State or Province? (7th Edition) (Routledge)
Recent Publication Peter Mattis and Matthew Brazil, Chinese Communist Espionage: An Intelligence Primer (U.S. Naval Institute Press)
Recent Publication Takashi Inoguchi and Lien Thi Quynh Le, The Development of Global Legislative Politics: Rousseau and Locke Writ Global (Springer Singapore) (includes analysis of East Asian cases)
Recent Publication Hans Stockton and Yao-Yuan Yeh (eds.), Taiwan: The Development of an Asian Tiger (Lynne Rienner Publishers)
Recent Publication Dafydd Fell and Hsin-Huang Michael Hsiao (eds.), Taiwan Studies Revisited, 1st Edition (Routledge)
   
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