::: TSR Weekly Report
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2020-06-20 | NO.44(22) epaper |
Note to Readers
Recent Publication Kerry Gershaneck, "To Win without Fighting: Defining China's Political Warfare" (Expeditions with Marine Corps University Press)
Recent Publication James Lee, "Did Thucydides Believe in Thucydides’ Trap? The History of the Peloponnesian War and Its Relevance to U.S.-China Relations" (Journal of Chinese Political Science; free access until June 30)
 
Cross-Strait Relations
DIPLOMACY: Maritime Militia Warning Issued (2020-06-16)
(Taipei Times/CNA) Taiwan needs to be better prepared for offensives by China’s state-backed maritime militia, which Beijing uses to pursue its political, economic and military goals in the region, Taiwanese security analysts said in a study. <Accessed 2020-06-16>

Two Former Legislative Aides Detained, Suspected of Spying for China (2020-06-18)
(CNA, By Liu Shih-yi and Evelyn Kao) Two former legislative aides in Taiwan's national legislature were detained and held incommunicado Thursday on suspicion of involvement in developing organizations for Chinese intelligence officers and providing them with classified information. <Accessed 2020-06-20> 

Ban China Security Products: Legislator (2020-06-18)
(Taipei Times, By Shelley Shan) Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) Legislator Lin Chun-hsien (林俊憲) yesterday urged the government to ban the purchase of and remove information security and communications products manufactured in China by companies that have close relations with Beijing. <Accessed 2020-06-20> 

Chinese Military Planes Enter Taiwan's ADIZ for Third Time This Week (2020-06-18)
(CNA, By Chen Yun-yu and Ko Lin) Two Chinese military planes were spotted for the third time this week entering Taiwan's southwest air defense identification zone (ADIZ) on Thursday, according to the Ministry of National Defense (MND). <Accessed 2020-06-20>

Hong Kong Protests: Taiwan Announces Humanitarian Aid Plan for People Fleeing City (2020-06-18)
(South China Morning Post, By Lawrence Chung, Victor Ting and Phila Siu) Taiwan has drawn up a plan to provide humanitarian support, including a basic living allowance, to Hongkongers seeking asylum on the island out of fear they will be prosecuted at home for their alleged involvement in the anti-government protests. <Accessed 2020-06-22>

KMT Criticized for Sidestepping Consensus that Enabled Good Relations (2020-06-19)
(CNA, By Flor Wang and Yu Hsiang) A reform committee within the opposition Kuomintang (KMT) on Friday put forth new proposals for cross-Taiwan Strait relations, in view of its eroding base of supporters following the January presidential election, but it was quickly criticized within the party for abandoning the only policy that had enabled Taiwan to get along with mainland China in the past few decades. <Accessed 2020-06-22>

Beijing Steps Up Presence in ‘Military Grey Zones’ to Pressure Taiwan (2020-06-20)
(South China Morning Post, By Lawrence Chung) The fly-bys and the dredging are what observers say are stepped-up “grey-zone” tactics designed to intimidate the island and tire its defences without engaging in conventional combat. <Accessed 2020-06-22>
U.S.-Taiwan Relations
DIPLOMACY: KMT’s Chiang Calls for Action by US (2020-06-16)
(Taipei Times, By Sherry Hsiao) Chinese Nationalist Party (KMT) Chairman Johnny Chiang (江啟臣), in a meeting with American Institute in Taiwan (AIT) Director Brent Christensen, expressed hope that the US would support with concrete action the nation’s belief in the pursuit of freedom, democracy and human rights, the party said yesterday. <Accessed 2020-06-16> 

Hsiao Bi-khim Appointed Taiwan's Representative to U.S. (2020-06-16)
(CNA, By Christie Chen) Hsiao Bi-khim (蕭美琴), a former Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) legislator and current National Security Council advisor, has been appointed Taiwan's de facto ambassador to the United States, the Presidential Office announced Tuesday. <Accessed 2020-06-16> 

U.S. Remains 'Committed to a Democratic Taiwan': U.S. Official (2020-06-16)
(CNA, By Chiang Chin-yeh and Chiang Yi-ching) United States Secretary of Defense Mark Esper tweeted Monday that the U.S. would continue to partner with countries in the Indo-Pacific and support Taiwan. <Accessed 2020-06-16> 

After COVID-19, It’s Time for Washington to Embrace a Bolder Taiwan Strategy (2020-06-18)
(The Diplomat, By Craig Singleton) The time has come for a rethink of U.S. Taiwan policy. <Accessed 2020-06-18>

Pompeo Reiterates U.S. Support for Taiwan's Participation in WHA (2020-06-20)
(CNA, By Stacy Hsu and Frances Huang) U.S. Secretary of State Mike Pompeo reiterated on Friday in the third Copenhagen Democracy Summit that the United States supports Taiwan's participation in the World Health Assembly (WHA), saying Taiwan's presence will be "useful" to the global community at a time of the COVID-19 pandemic. <Accessed 2020-06-20> 
Taiwan's Domestic Politics and Foreign Relations
Taiwan's Domestic Politics

DIPLOMACY: DPP Lawmakers Worry Tsai’s ‘Taiwan’ Agenda Unheeded (2020-06-16)
(Taipei Times, By Su Yung-yao) Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) lawmakers have expressed concern that the government is “going backward” on use of the nation’s name on diplomatic documents after the Ministry of Foreign Affairs (MOFA) issued instructions on name cards that eschewed “Taiwan.”<Accessed 2020-06-16>

DPP Nominates Outgoing Vice Premier for Kaohsiung Mayoral By-Election (2020-06-17)
(CNA, By Yen Su-ping, Ku Chuan, Yu Hsiang, and Joseph Yeh) The ruling Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) on Wednesday nominated outgoing Vice Premier Chen Chi-mai (陳其邁) as the party's candidate for the Aug. 15 Kaohsiung mayoral by-election to replace recalled mayor Han Kuo-yu (韓國瑜). <Accessed 2020-06-22>

Chen Chu to be Control Yuan Head (2020-06-19)
(Taipei Times/CNA, By Dennis Xie) Former Presidential Office secretary-general Chen Chu (陳菊) is to be appointed as Control Yuan president today, while doubling as head of the nation’s newly established National Human Rights Commission. <Accessed 2020-06-22>

Economics Minister Shen Jong-chin Appointed as Vice Premier (2020-06-19)
(CNA, By Wang Cheng-chung and Elizabeth Hsu) Economics Minister Shen Jong-chin (沈榮津) was appointed Friday to the post of vice premier, following the resignation of the incumbent to run in a local government election, according to Cabinet spokesman Ting Yi-ming (丁怡銘). <Accessed 2020-06-22>

Nominee for Control Yuan Deputy Chief Withdraws Amid Criticism (2020-06-20)
(CNA, By Yu Hsiang and Matthew Mazzetta) Former Taitung Magistrate Justin Huang (黃健庭) on Saturday declined President Tsai Ing-wen's (蔡英文) nomination as deputy chief of the Control Yuan, one day after news of the cross-party appointment sparked criticism from across Taiwan's political spectrum. <Accessed 2020-06-20> 

Taiwan's Foreign Relations

FEATURE: Taiwan-Japan Ties ‘Always Good,’ Official Says (2020-06-14)
(Taipei Times, By Lin Chia-nan) Taiwan-Japan relations are “always good,” but as with any couple, the occasional dispute is inevitable, a government official said, as interaction between the two nations has recently experienced ups and downs. <Accessed 2020-06-16>

Taiwan Keeping Close Eye on North Korea Situation: Presidential Office (2020-06-16)
(CNA, By Flor Wang and Wen Kuei-hsiang) Taiwan is closely watching the situation in North Korea, as the country seems poised to create a crisis amid escalating tensions with South Korea, a Presidential Office spokesperson said Tuesday. <Accessed 2020-06-16>

Taiwan Investigating Reports Ship Captain Assaulted Indonesian Sailor (2020-06-18)
(CNA, By Yang Su-min and Matthew Mazzetta) Taiwan's Fisheries Agency said Thursday that it is investigating Indonesian media reports that a Taiwanese fishing boat captain assaulted an Indonesian crew member while in Sri Lankan waters, and said the man will face criminal charges if the allegations can be verified. <Accessed 2020-06-20>

Ku Wen-jiann Appointed as Taiwan's New Ambassador to Haiti (2020-06-19)
(CNA, By Chen Yun-yu and Elizabeth Hsu) Taiwan's deputy representative to France Ku Wen-jiann (古文劍) has been reassigned to Haiti as ambassador, according to a statement from the Ministry of Foreign Affairs (MOFA) on Friday. <Accessed 2020-06-22>

Tsai Says Democracies Should Not Rest Till the Whole World Is Free (2020-06-19)
(CNA, By Ko Lin) President Tsai Ing-wen (蔡英文) on Friday emphasized the responsibility of democracies to help the rest of the world become free, in her speech at the 3rd Copenhagen Democracy Summit. <Accessed 2020-06-22>

Virus Outbreak: Ministry Wishes Honduran President a Speedy Recovery (2020-06-20)
(Taipei Times, By Lin Chia-nan) The Ministry of Foreign Affairs yesterday voiced concern for the health of Honduran President Juan Orlando Hernandez and his wife, who have tested positive for COVID-19, and said the government is donating medical supplies to the ally nation. <Accessed 2020-06-20> 
U.S.-China Relations
Pompeo to Meet with Chinese Delegation This Week in Hawaii - Sources (2020-06-15)
(Reuters, By Humeyra Pamuk and David Brunnstrom) U.S. Secretary of State Mike Pompeo is planning to meet a Chinese delegation at a U.S. military base in Hawaii this week to discuss bilateral ties that have soured deeply since the start of the year, sources familiar with the matter said. <Accessed 2020-06-22>

Trump Spins His China Policy for Re-election (2020-06-15)
(East Asia Forum, By Daniel Sneider) Whatever happens in November, the hardliners hope to cement this policy stance for the long term. <Accessed 2020-06-22>

New Contagion Afflicts US–China Relations (2020-06-15)
(East Asia Forum, By James Curran) If US minds are made up that China already poses an economic and military threat, then the coming of the pandemic, which has taken so many US lives and ushered in levels of unemployment approaching those seen in the Great Depression, is already intensifying the antagonism towards China in the US policy community and wider public. <Accessed 2020-06-22>

Why a US-China Détente Is Coming in 2021: The Biden Factor (2020-06-18)
(The Diplomat, By Dingding Chen) Beyond Trump’s policies, the possibility of a Biden presidency looms large over the U.S.-China relationship. <Accessed 2020-06-18>

How Unique Is Trump’s China Policy? (2020-06-18)
(The Diplomat, By Keikichi Takahashi) The current U.S. approach reflects a sea change on China that began before Trump’s election – and will continue after his administration ends. <Accessed 2020-06-18>

Will American and Chinese Societies Support a New Type of Cold War? (2020-06-18)
(The Diplomat, By Matt Ferchen and Hanns W. Maull) Leaders on both sides are taking a more confrontational line, but are the people willing to go along? <Accessed 2020-06-18>

A US-China Détente in 2021: A Word of Caution (2020-06-18)
(The Diplomat, By Maxime Chervaux) Trump’s China policy is about domestic politics, and it has shown some successes. <Accessed 2020-06-18>

China Lashes Out at U.S.’s Action Against Mass Incarcerations (2020-06-18)
(New York Times, By Steven Lee Myers) A new law aimed at punishing Chinese officials involved in mass internments of Uighurs and other minorities in Xinjiang came as John Bolton accused President Trump of supporting Beijing’s crackdown. <Accessed 2020-06-22>

Beyond Ukraine Scandal, Bolton Says Trump Sought China’s Help for Reelection (2020-06-18)
(Foreign Policy, By Robbie Gramer, Jack Detsch) The incident that led to the president’s impeachment was only part of a larger pattern, former national security advisor writes. <Accessed 2020-06-18>

US-China US$200 Billion Trade Deal Leaves European Suppliers Feeling Left Out (2020-06-21)
(South China Morning Post, By Keegan Elmer) China’s commitments under a trade agreement signed with the United States in January have left European firms feeling frozen out of the world’s largest consumer market, observers say. <Accessed 2020-06-22>

Trump versus Huawei: Right Target, Disastrous Strategy (2020-06-21)
(East Asia Forum, By William H Overholt) Trump’s approach maximises the conflicts that mobilise his voter base and deflects attention from his domestic failures. But it minimises the chance of solving the United States’ problems with China. <Accessed 2020-06-22>
China's Domestic Politics and Foreign Relations
Mainland China

Coronavirus Breaches Chinese Capital, Rattling Officials (2020-06-15)
(New York Times, By Chris Buckley) Disease experts said limited bursts of infections were likely to become part of the “new normal” for China. <Accessed 2020-06-22>

China’s (Potentially) Revealing Government Work Report
 (2020-06-18)
(The Diplomat, By Shin Kawashima) Does the report reveal disagreements within the Chinese government? <Accessed 2020-06-18>

Hong Kong and Macau

Hong Kong Protest Marks Anniversary of Violent Police Clash (2020-06-18)
(The Diplomat, By Zen Soo) As a new national security law looms, protesters gathered to mark a key moment in 2019’s anti-extradition bill protests. <Accessed 2020-06-18>

Hong Kong and the National Security Law: Why Now? (2020-06-18)
(The Diplomat, By Simon Shen) The realist calculations behind Beijing’s so-called “second reunification” with Hong Kong. <Accessed 2020-06-18>

Will China’s New National Security Law Be the ‘Anti-Virus’ Software That Locks Down Hong Kong? (2020-06-18)
(The Diplomat, By Jerome A. Cohen) Parsing the legislative, judicial, and law enforcement implications of the NPC’s “bombshell” decision. <Accessed 2020-06-18>

Law Will Tighten Beijing’s Grip on Hong Kong With Chinese Security Force (2020-06-20)
(New York Times, By Chris Buckley, Keith Bradsher and Elaine Yu) Pro-democracy politicians said the proposed security law would punch a hole in the city’s judicial system. Chinese lawmakers may take the issue up again in a matter of days. <Accessed 2020-06-22>

China's Foreign Relations

G-7 Calls on China to Reconsider Hong Kong Security Law (2020-06-17)
(Associated Press) The Group of Seven leading economies is calling on China to reconsider plans to impose a national security law in Hong Kong, according to a joint statement issued Wednesday. <Accessed 2020-06-22>

China’s Health Silk Road Is a Dead-End Street (2020-06-18)
(Foreign Policy, By Kristine Lee, Martijn Rasser) The pandemic has given China a chance to assert global leadership. <Accessed 2020-06-18>

The Global Pushback against China’s Overreach in Hong Kong (2020-06-18)
(East Asia Forum, By Andreas Fulda) The signing of former Hong Kong governor Chris Patten’s open letter by over 800 parliamentarians from 40 countries as well as the launch of the Inter-Parliamentary Alliance on China suggests that this evolution in the West from engagement with China to ‘constrainment’ has already started. <Accessed 2020-06-22>

Europe Must Stand Up to China Before It’s Too Late (2020-06-18)
(Foreign Policy, By Ian Bond) The EU must defend its values rather than caving to economic pressure from Beijing. <Accessed 2020-06-18>

China’s Media Influence Has Gone Global. So Has the Pushback. (2020-06-18)
(The Diplomat, By Sarah Cook) Beijing’s campaign to control narratives about China the world over is attracting more attention — and opposition. <Accessed 2020-06-18>

China Indicts 2 Canadians on Spying Charges, Escalating Dispute (2020-06-19)
(New York Times, By Javier C. Hernández and Catherine Porter) Michael Kovrig and Michael Spavor were detained in 2018 amid heightening tensions between Canada and China. <Accessed 2020-06-22>
Territorial Disputes, the Korean Peninsula, and Other Regional Issues
Territorial Disputes

Taiwan Vows to Protect Fishermen's Rights in Disputed Waters (2020-06-15)
(CNA, By Emerson Lim) The assurance was made in response to the concerns of local fishermen that their rights to fish in waters around the disputed Diaoyutai Islands will be affected, after Japanese media revealed a plan by a Japanese locality to change the islands' administrative designation to highlight its sovereignty over them. <Accessed 2020-06-22>

China-US Close Encounters ‘Raise Conflict Risk in South China Sea’ (2020-06-16)
(South China Morning Post, By Minnie Chan) China and the US are running the risk of conflict and should come up with a way to manage such crises as their warships engage in close encounters in the South China Sea, according to maritime strategy specialists. <Accessed 2020-06-22>

China’s Tightening Grasp in the South China Sea: A First-Hand Look (2020-06-18)
(The Diplomat, By Zachary Williams) A view from the USS America on China’s actions — and U.S. reactions — in the disputed waters. <Accessed 2020-06-18>

Chinese Tanks Conduct High-Altitude Drills Amid Border Standoff With India (2020-06-18)
(The Diplomat, By Ankit Panda) The exercises were announced by the PLA’s Tibet Military Region. <Accessed 2020-06-18>

A Skirmish in Galwan Valley: India and China’s Deadliest Clash in More Than 50 Year (2020-06-18)
(The Diplomat, By Ankit Panda) After the death of at least 20 Indian soldiers, the Sino-Indian border has heated up to levels unseen in recent years. <Accessed 2020-06-18>

Japan Files Diplomatic Protest over Chinese Ships Near Disputed Diaoyu Islands (2020-06-19)
(South China Morning Post, By Julian Ryall) Japan has filed a diplomatic protest with Beijing after four Chinese government ships were again monitored in waters close to the disputed Senkaku/Diaoyu Islands on Wednesday. <Accessed 2020-06-22>

The Korean Peninsula

​North Korea’s Wrecking of Liaison Office a ‘Death Knell’ for Ties With the South (2020-06-16)
(New York Times, By Choe Sang-Hun) The destruction of the office was a message aimed at President Moon Jae-in of South Korea, who had brokered failed talks between the North and the Trump administration. But it was also a message for Washington. <Accessed 2020-06-22>

North Korea's Kim Stokes Tensions with Eye on Distracted Trump
 (2020-06-19)
(Reuters, By Hyonhee Shin) North Korea has been ramping up tensions with South Korea in recent weeks, but the campaign seems aimed at making a renewed push for sanctions relief by recapturing the attention of a U.S. administration that is distracted by domestic issues. <Accessed 2020-06-22>

Other Regional Issues

Asian Cooperation Should Start with Financial Stability (2020-06-15)
(East Asia Forum, By the Editorial Board) Asia needs more integration, not less, if it is to manage these crises. <Accessed 2020-06-22>

Amid Escalating Tension With China, Australia and India Strengthen Partnership
 (2020-06-18)
(The Diplomat, By Joshua Mcdonald) A new Australia-India agreement is a sign of regional cooperation to halt Chinese aggression across the Asia-Pacific. <Accessed 2020-06-18>

Survey: China Gaining Influence Over US in Southeast Asia, With Likely Long-term Consequences (2020-06-18)
(The Diplomat, By Ankit Panda) A new survey of strategic elites in Southeast Asia finds perceptions of growing Chinese might surging—with no strong consensus on whether Beijing is a benign or malignant force for the region. <Accessed 2020-06-18>

Will India Side With the West Against China? A Test Is at Hand (2020-06-19)
(New York Times, By Maria Abi-Habib) The United States and its allies have long wanted India’s help in confronting China. Now, a deadly border clash seems likely to push India in that direction. <Accessed 2020-06-22>

U.S., Russian Envoys to Discuss Arms Control in Austria Next Week: State Department (2020-06-19)
(Reuters, By Mohammad Zargham) U.S. Special Presidential Envoy Marshall Billingslea will travel to Austria on Monday and Tuesday to discuss “mutually agreed topics related to the future of arms control” with Russian Deputy Foreign Sergei Ryabkov, the U.S. State Department said on Friday. <Accessed 2020-06-22>

Why Is the Five Eyes Intelligence Alliance in Beijing’s Cross Hairs? (2020-06-20)
(South China Morning Post, By Sarah Zheng) Tensions between Beijing and the alliance – comprising the US, Britain, Australia, Canada, and New Zealand – have grown more fraught in recent months, inflamed not only by the lowest relations between China and the US in decades but also by a host of issues on technology, trade and ideology. <Accessed 2020-06-22>

Contact: James Lee, Senior Editor 

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Forthcoming Publication Mei-Fang Fan, Deliberative Democracy in Taiwan: A Deliberative Systems Perspective (Routledge)
Recent Publication Kerry Gershaneck, "To Win without Fighting: Defining China's Political Warfare" (Expeditions with Marine Corps University Press)
Recent Publication James Lee, "Did Thucydides Believe in Thucydides’ Trap? The History of the Peloponnesian War and Its Relevance to U.S.-China Relations" (Journal of Chinese Political Science)
Recent Publication James Lee, US grand strategy and the origins of the developmental state, Journal of Strategic Studies
Recent Publication Elizabeth Freund Larus, Politics and Society in Contemporary China, 2nd edition (Lynne Rienner Publishers)
Recent Publication John F. Copper, ""Cross-Strait Relations in the Wake of Taiwan’s January 2016 Election: Taiwan’s Narratives" in Chineseness and Modernity in a Changing China: Essays in Honour of Professor Wang Gungwu, edited by Yongnian Zheng and Litao Zhao (World Scientific)
Recent Publication James Lee, American Diplomacy and Export-Oriented Industrialization on Taiwan (Journal of East Asian Studies)
Recent Publication J. Michael Cole, Cross-Strait Relations Since 2016: The End of the Illusion (1st Edition) (Routledge)
Recent Publication Kingsley Edney, Stanley Rosen, and Ying Zhu, Soft Power With Chinese Characteristics: China’s Campaign for Hearts and Minds (1st Edition) (Routledge)
Recent Publication John Franklin Copper, Taiwan: Nation-State or Province? (7th Edition) (Routledge)
Recent Publication Peter Mattis and Matthew Brazil, Chinese Communist Espionage: An Intelligence Primer (U.S. Naval Institute Press)
Recent Publication Takashi Inoguchi and Lien Thi Quynh Le, The Development of Global Legislative Politics: Rousseau and Locke Writ Global (Springer Singapore) (includes analysis of East Asian cases)
Recent Publication Hans Stockton and Yao-Yuan Yeh (eds.), Taiwan: The Development of an Asian Tiger (Lynne Rienner Publishers)
Recent Publication Dafydd Fell and Hsin-Huang Michael Hsiao (eds.), Taiwan Studies Revisited, 1st Edition (Routledge)
   
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