::: TSR Weekly Report
2020-05-30 | NO.44(19) epaper |
Note to Readers
Recent Publication James Lee, US grand strategy and the origins of the developmental state, Journal of Strategic Studies
Cross-Strait Relations
Taiwan Considers Revoking Hong Kong's Special Status on Law Fears (2020-05-24)
(Reuters, By Yimou Lee and Ben Blanchard) China’s planned national security law may prompt Taiwan to revoke the special status it extends to Hong Kong, President Tsai Ing-wen said, a move that could anger Beijing and make it harder for Hong Kongers to visit and invest. <Accessed 2020-05-25>

PLA Drill in South China Sea about Combat Readiness, Not Seizing Taiwanese Islands, Experts Say (2020-05-24)
(South China Morning Post, By Minnie Chan) Aircraft carriers from the PLA Navy are set to take part in combat readiness exercises this summer in the South China Sea, and while the drills are likely to raise concerns in Taipei, their aim is not to seize Taiwan-controlled territory, military observers say. <Accessed 2020-06-01>

Tsai's Remarks About Hong Kong a Warning to Beijing: MAC
(CNA, By Miao Zong-han and Evelyn Kao) President Tsai Ing-wen's (蔡英文) proposed suspension of Taiwan's law governing its dealings with Hong Kong if the situation in Hong Kong worsens was meant to be a warning to Beijing, the Mainland Affairs Council (MAC) said Monday. <Accessed 2020-05-25>

Taiwan Rejects Beijing's Reiteration of One China Principle (2020-05-25)
(CNA, By Emerson Lim) Taiwan's Ministry of Foreign Affairs (MOFA) reiterated that "only the government elected by the Taiwanese people can represent the Taiwanese people," rejecting Beijing's "One China" principle cited by Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi (王毅) Sunday. <Accessed 2020-05-25>

Taiwan President Pledges Humanitarian Relief for Hong Kongers (2020-05-27)
(Reuters, By Yimou Lee) Taiwanese President Tsai Ing-wen on Wednesday pledged to draw up a plan to give humanitarian relief to people involved in pro-democracy protests in Taiwan’s most concrete intervention since a renewal of unrest in Chinese-ruled Hong Kong. <Accessed 2020-06-01>

Hongkongers Who Want to Flee to Taiwan Will Go through Strict Screening, Officials Say (2020-05-28)
(South China Morning Post, By Lawrence Chung) Hongkongers who want to move to Taiwan, fearing they will lose their rights and freedom after Beijing approved a national security law for the city, will have to go through a strict screening process, Taiwanese officials said on Thursday. <Accessed 2020-06-01>

Attack on Taiwan an Option to Stop Independence, Top China General Says
(Reuters, By Yew Lun Tian) Speaking at Beijing’s Great Hall of the People on the 15th anniversary of the Anti-Secession Law, Li Zuocheng, chief of the Joint Staff Department and member of the Central Military Commission, left the door open to using force. <Accessed 2020-05-30>

Taiwan President Visits Bookshop to Show Solidarity with Hong Kongers
(Reuters, By Yimou Lee) Taiwan President Tsai Ing-wen on Friday visited a bookshop that has become a symbol of resistance to perceived Chinese encroachments on Hong Kong’s liberties, vowing to give help to the city’s citizens fleeing to the democratic island. <Accessed 2020-05-30>

Taiwan's Legislature Condemns China Law, Promotes Help for Hong Kongers (2020-05-29)
(CNA, By Flor Wang, Chen Chun-hua, and Su Lung-chi) In a rare joint statement, the major parties in Taiwan's Legislature said China's decision Thursday to enact the law was putting Hong Kong's autonomy in jeopardy, and they asked the Taiwan government to provide assistance to Hong Kong residents, in accordance with the Act Governing Relations with Hong Kong and Macau. <Accessed 2020-05-30>
U.S.-Taiwan Relations
Taiwan to 'Closely Monitor' Impact of U.S. Withdrawal from WHO (2020-05-30)
(CNA, By Chen Yun-yu, Chang Ming-hsuan and Matthew Mazzetta) Taiwan officials said Saturday that they will closely watch the impact of the decision by United States' President Donald Trump to withdraw the U.S. from the World Health Organization (WHO), with Taiwan's health minister saying the move could create an opportunity for closer cooperation between the countries. <Accessed 2020-06-01> 
Taiwan's Domestic Politics and Foreign Relations
Taiwan's Domestic Politics

Recall Campaigners Ready for Final Kaohsiung Push
(Taipei Times, By Jason Pan) The “Wecare Kaohsiung” coalition of civic groups behind the recall campaign against Kaohsiung Mayor Han Kuo-yu (韓國瑜) is capping off their effort with three rallies in the city ahead of the recall vote on Saturday next week, starting with one last night in Cishan District (旗山). <Accessed 2020-05-25>

Transitional Justice Commission Members Confirmed in Party-Line Vote (2020-05-26)
(CNA, By Wang Yang-yu and Fan Cheng-hsiang, and Matthew Mazzetta) The Legislative Yuan voted along party lines Tuesday to approve the nomination of eight commissioners to the Transitional Justice Commission (TJC), an "independent government agency" charged with investigating Taiwan's authoritarian past. <Accessed 2020-05-26>

Taiwan Court Strikes Down Law Criminalizing Adultery (2020-05-29)
(New York Times, By Amy Qin) The decision was hailed by rights activists who said the law had disproportionately targeted women. <Accessed 2020-05-30>

Taiwan's Foreign Relations

CORONAVIRUS/Philippines to Join Taiwan's Clinical Trials for COVID-19 Vaccine
(CNA, By Chen Yen-chun and Evelyn Kao) The Philippines has decided to participate in clinical trials by Taiwanese and Chinese institutions aimed at developing vaccines against COVID-19, according to a resolution issued Saturday by the Philippine government's coronavirus response team. <Accessed 2020-05-25>

Taiwan Makes Donations to APEC Sub-Funds
(CNA, By Emerson Lim) Taiwan donated US$700,000 to the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation (APEC) in May to help the inter-governmental forum better handle transmittable diseases by using digital technology, the Ministry of Foreign Affairs (MOFA) said Tuesday. <Accessed 2020-05-26>

MOFA Thanks Brazil Congressman for Leaking China Ploy (2020-05-29)
(Taipei Times, By Lu Yi-hsuan and Dennis Xie) The Ministry of Foreign Affairs (MOFA) yesterday extended its appreciation to Brazilian Deputy Paulo Eduardo Martins, who disclosed a letter from the Chinese embassy in Sao Paulo to local lawmakers demanding that they not congratulate President Tsai Ing-wen (蔡英文) on her inauguration on Wednesday last week. <Accessed 2020-05-30>

PacNet #31 – Taiwan’s Covid-19 Diplomacy and WHO Participation: Losing the Battle but Winning the War? (2020-05-29)
(Pacific Forum, By Wen-Ti Sung) In this sense, even if Taiwan is losing the WHA 2020 battle, it may still be winning the war of greater international space. <Accessed 2020-06-01>

Taiwan-Indonesia Petrochemical Plant to be Built in Balongan: Report (2020-05-30)
(CNA, By Shih Hsiu-chuan and Frances Huang) A joint petrochemical complex planned by Taiwan's state-owned oil company CPC Corp. and its Indonesian partner PT Pertamina will be located in Balongan, West Java, Sindonews reported Friday. <Accessed 2020-06-02>
U.S.-China Relations
China Demands US Withdraw Sanctions on Tech Suppliers (2020-05-25)
(Associated Press, By Joe McDonald) The foreign ministry accused the Trump administration of interfering in China’s affairs by adding eight companies accused of playing roles in a crackdown in its Muslim northwestern region of Xinjiang to an export blacklist. <Accessed 2020-05-25>

Pompeo Says Hong Kong is No Longer Autonomous from China (2020-05-27)
(Associated Press, By Matthew Lee) Secretary of State Mike Pompeo has notified Congress that the Trump administration no longer regards Hong Kong as autonomous from mainland China, setting the stage for the U.S. to withdraw the former British colony’s preferential trade and financial status it has enjoyed since it reverted to Chinese rule 23 years ago. <Accessed 2020-06-01>

U.S. to Expel Chinese Graduate Students With Ties to China’s Military Schools
(New York Times, By Edward Wong and Julian E. Barnes) The move is the latest in the Trump administration’s efforts to impose limits on Chinese students. But university officials say the government is paranoid, and that the United States will lose out. <Accessed 2020-05-30>

Beijing Hardens Resolve to Defy U.S., Even While Calling for Cooperation (2020-05-28)
(New York Times, By Keith Bradsher and Steven Lee Myers) From China’s perspective, the punitive American measures on trade, technology and Hong Kong have revealed a core American hostility. But China does not want to incinerate the relationship. <Accessed 2020-05-30>

The US No Longer Considers Hong Kong Autonomous. What Does That Mean?
(The Diplomat, By Shannon Tiezzi) The announcement has huge ramifications, but its actual impact is not yet clear. <Accessed 2020-05-29>

Where Have America’s Pro-Business China Watchers Gone? (2020-05-29)
(The Diplomat, By James Haynes) What happened to Amb. Terry Branstad and the rest of the United States’ pro-business, pro-engagement China watchers? <Accessed 2020-05-29>

US-China Tensions Expected to Escalate Further after Donald Trump Promises Action over Hong Kong (2020-05-30)
(South China Morning Post, By Sarah Zheng) China and the US have little room to defuse tensions after Washington announced it would end Hong Kong’s special status, observers believe. <Accessed 2020-06-01>

Donald Trump Says the US Is ‘Terminating’ Its Relationship with the World Health Organisation (2020-05-30)
(South China Morning Post, By Robert Delaney) US President Donald Trump said on Friday that he has terminated Washington’s relationship with the World Health Organisation (WHO), accusing the United Nations agency of bowing to pressure from China and allowing the Covid-19 pandemic to spread out of control. <Accessed 2020-06-01>
China's Domestic Politics and Foreign Relations
Mainland China

Virus Outbreak: China Unemployment Might Aid PLA
(Taipei Times/CNA) Rising unemployment in China due to the COVID-19 pandemic could benefit the Chinese People’s Liberation Army (PLA) by allowing it to attract new, better educated recruits, a Taiwanese security researcher said on Friday. <Accessed 2020-05-25>

The Invisible Threat to China’s Navy: Corruption
(The Diplomat, By Zi Yang) The arrest of CSIC’s chairman speaks to endemic corruption among China’s military shipbuilders. That spells trouble for the PLAN. <Accessed 2020-05-26>

China’s 5G Buildout On Track after Being Slowed by Covid-19 Outbreak, Minister Says (2020-05-26)
(South China Morning Post, By Che Pan) China is currently adding about 10,000 new 5G wireless base stations a week across the country after a brief slowdown in buildout during the peak of the Covid-19 pandemic, according to Miao Wei, minister at China’s Ministry of Industry and Information Technology (MIIT). <Accessed 2020-06-01>

Hong Kong and Macau

Hong Kong Police Fire Tear Gas, Water Cannon at Protesters (2020-05-24)
(Associated Press, By Zen Soo) Hong Kong police fired tear gas and a water cannon at protesters in a popular shopping district Sunday, as thousands took to the streets to march against China’s move to impose national security legislation on the city. <Accessed 2020-05-25>

Hong Kong and Beijing Officials Defend Security Laws, Citing Threat of Terrorism (2020-05-25)
(Reuters, By James Pomfret and Twinnie Siu) China’s foreign ministry office in Hong Kong and the city’s security chief on Monday defended proposed national security laws by describing some acts in mass pro-democracy protests last year as terrorism. <Accessed 2020-05-25>

Hong Kong and China’s National Security
(The Diplomat, By Jin Kai) Shouldn’t national security be universal and equal? <Accessed 2020-05-26>

China’s Military Vows to Defend the Country’s Interests in Hong Kong (2020-05-26)
(New York Times, By Steven Lee Myers and Elaine Yu) The commander of the People’s Liberation Army garrison in Hong Kong and the city’s leader defended Beijing’s push for new national security laws governing the territory. <Accessed 2020-05-30>

Hong Kong Is Becoming Ground Zero in the New Cold War (2020-05-26)
(The Diplomat, By Brian C.H. Fong) If Hong Kong falls, the long arm of the Chinese Communist Party will expand further. <Accessed 2020-05-26>

Hong Kong Leader Says Security Law Not a Threat to Freedoms (2020-05-26)
(Associated Press, By Zen Soo) Hong Kong’s leader said Tuesday that national security legislation proposed by China’s legislature will not threaten the semi-autonomous territory’s civil rights, despite widespread criticism of the move as an encroachment on freedom of speech and assembly. <Accessed 2020-05-26>

China's Hong Kong Law Set to Bar Foreign Judges from National Security Cases: Sources (2020-05-26)
(Reuters, By Yew Lun Tian) Beijing’s planned national security legislation for Hong Kong is set to block its foreign judges from handling national security trials, people familiar with the matter said, which would exacerbate concerns about the city’s judicial independence. <Accessed 2020-05-26>

China's Foreign Relations

UK, US, Australia and Canada Scold China over Hong Kong Law (2020-05-28)
(Reuters, By Guy Faulconbridge and William James) The United Kingdom, the United States, Australia and Canada criticized China on Thursday for imposing a new security law on Hong Kong that they said would breach the 1984 Sino-British agreement on the former colony and threaten its freedoms. <Accessed 2020-05-30>

The Belt and Road Initiative: A Domestically-Motivated Program Fueling Global Competition (2020-05-29)
(Jamestown Foundation, By Jon (Yuan) Jiang) Foreign observers often discuss the BRI in terms of the PRC’s geopolitical ambitions—but in actuality, its primary motivating factors are domestic in origin. <Accessed 2020-06-01>

No, China Has Not Bought Central and Eastern Europe (2020-05-29)
(Foreign Policy, By David Hutt, Richard Q. Turcsányi) While some Central and Eastern European governments have taken pro-Beijing positions, their considerations are far more domestic than international. <Accessed 2020-05-29>

Flashpoints on the Periphery: Understanding China’s Neighborhood Opportunism (2020-05-29)
(The Diplomat, By Suyash Desai) How is China taking advantage of the pandemic to pursue its foreign policy goals? <Accessed 2020-05-29>

Canada Judge Rules Huawei CFO’s Extradition Case Will Proceed (2020-05-29)
(The Diplomat, By Jim Morris) Meng Wanzhou’s extradition cleared a legal hurdle, despite pressure from Beijing. <Accessed 2020-05-29>

Forget About a ‘New’ Cold War. The Old One Never Ended. (2020-05-29)
(The Diplomat, By Francis P. Sempa) James Burnham and ‘The War We Are In’ with China. <Accessed 2020-05-29>
Territorial Disputes, the Korean Peninsula, and Other Regional Issues
Territorial Disputes

Why We Should Worry About China and India’s Border Skirmishes (2020-05-26)
(Foreign Policy, By Sumit Ganguly, Manjeet S. Pardesi) Three decades ago, the two countries reached an understanding not to fight. But Beijing is now a much stronger power. <Accessed 2020-05-26>

China Calls Charges of Pandemic Opportunism in South China Sea ‘Sheer Nonsense’ (2020-05-29)
(The Diplomat, By Ankit Panda) Have China’s ways in the South China Sea changed at all? <Accessed 2020-05-29>

Chinese Incursions Into Vietnamese Waters, Security Implications for the Region, and the Potential Role of India (2020-05-29)
(Jamestown Foundation, By Rajaram Panda) While these border confrontations are not necessarily related to the latest situation in the SCS, it reinforces Indian motivations to increase ties with Western powers and ASEAN members who are also the subject of Chinese coercion. <Accessed 2020-06-01>

The Korean Peninsula

Kim Jong-un Moves to Increase North Korea’s Nuclear Strength (2020-05-24)
(New York Times, By Choe Sang-Hun) After another weekslong absence from public view, Mr. Kim convened his top military body to promote top aides specializing in nuclear and missile forces. <Accessed 2020-05-30>

North Koreans Accused of Laundering $2.5 Billion for Nuclear Program
(New York Times, By Katie Benner) The Justice Department unsealed an indictment accusing nearly three dozen people of using shell companies to launder billions through the global financial system. <Accessed 2020-05-30>

Revitalising Korea’s United Nations Command (2020-05-29)
(East Asia Forum, By Anthony V Rinna) Whatever function a revitalised UNC would serve, a failure to clearly delineate the UNC’s purpose from Washington’s strategic goals risks leading to confusion and miscalculations — particularly on China’s part — over US intentions in the context of a reunified Korean Peninsula. <Accessed 2020-06-01>

Contact: James Lee, Senior Editor 

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Forthcoming Publication Mei-Fang Fan, Deliberative Democracy in Taiwan: A Deliberative Systems Perspective (Routledge)
Recent Publication Kerry Gershaneck, "To Win without Fighting: Defining China's Political Warfare" (Expeditions with Marine Corps University Press)
Recent Publication James Lee, "Did Thucydides Believe in Thucydides’ Trap? The History of the Peloponnesian War and Its Relevance to U.S.-China Relations" (Journal of Chinese Political Science)
Recent Publication James Lee, US grand strategy and the origins of the developmental state, Journal of Strategic Studies
Recent Publication Elizabeth Freund Larus, Politics and Society in Contemporary China, 2nd edition (Lynne Rienner Publishers)
Recent Publication John F. Copper, ""Cross-Strait Relations in the Wake of Taiwan’s January 2016 Election: Taiwan’s Narratives" in Chineseness and Modernity in a Changing China: Essays in Honour of Professor Wang Gungwu, edited by Yongnian Zheng and Litao Zhao (World Scientific)
Recent Publication James Lee, American Diplomacy and Export-Oriented Industrialization on Taiwan (Journal of East Asian Studies)
Recent Publication J. Michael Cole, Cross-Strait Relations Since 2016: The End of the Illusion (1st Edition) (Routledge)
Recent Publication Kingsley Edney, Stanley Rosen, and Ying Zhu, Soft Power With Chinese Characteristics: China’s Campaign for Hearts and Minds (1st Edition) (Routledge)
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