::: TSR Weekly Report
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2020-02-01 | NO.44(2) epaper |
Note to Readers
TSR is pleased to announce newly published books about Taiwan and East Asia on its website and in its weekly newsletter. If you're a scholar or your book is coming out from an academic press, please send the title of your book and a link to the publisher's web site to TSR's Senior Editor, James Lee (JL18@alumni.princeton.edu).
Cross-Strait Relations
China Refuses Taiwan’s Requests to Evacuate Citizens From Wuhan (2020-01-28)
(Taiwan News, By George Liao) China has refused Taiwan’s requests to charter planes and bring its citizens home after being trapped in the Chinese city of Wuhan, Taiwan news outlet chinatimes.com reported on Tuesday (Jan. 28). <Accessed 2020-01-28> 

Is This the End of the 1992 Consensus? (2020-02-01)
(The Diplomat, By Zihao Liu) In fact, the status of the 1992 Consensus is being challenged by each of the three major forces shaping cross-strait relations: Tsai’s supporters, the KMT, and Beijing. Tsai’s record-breaking victory means that the vast majority of Taiwanese youth oppose any kind of political connection with mainland China. For them, the 1992 Consensus is diametrically opposed to their political inclination. <Accessed 2020-02-01>

Taiwan Bans Entry of Chinese Nationals from Guangdong Province (2020-02-01)
(CNA, By Chang Ming-hsuan and Matthew Mazzetta) Chinese nationals from Guangdong Province will be prohibited entry into Taiwan starting Sunday, while travelers who have recently been there will be subject to a mandatory 14-day home quarantine, Taiwan's Central Epidemic Command Center (CECC) said Saturday. <Accessed 2020-02-02>
U.S.-Taiwan Relations
U.S. Denounces ICAO for Blocking Critics Supportive of Taiwan Inclusion (2020-01-28)
(CNA, By By Chiang Chin-yeh and Emerson Lim) The United States House of Representatives Committee on Foreign Affairs on Monday denounced the International Civil Aviation Organization (ICAO) for blocking Twitter accounts that criticized ICAO's continued exclusion of Taiwan during a global public health crisis. <Accessed 2020-01-28>

American Senators Urge WHO to Grant Taiwan Observer Status (2020-02-01)
(CNA, By Matt Yu and Matthew Mazzetta) Seven American senators on Friday called on the World Health Organization (WHO) to grant observer status to Taiwan, amid mounting concern over the novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV) outbreak that has been designated as a global health emergency. <Accessed 2020-02-02>
Taiwan's Domestic Politics and Foreign Relations
Taiwan's Domestic Politics

Taiwan Confirms Fifth New Virus Case (2020-01-28)
(Taipei Times, By Lee I-chia) The Central Epidemic Command Center yesterday confirmed a fifth case of 2019 novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV) infection, urging people returning from China to cooperate with quarantine officers conducting health checks in airports. <Accessed 2020-01-28> 

How Taiwan’s History Illuminates the 2020 Election (2020-01-28)
(The Diplomat, By Evan Dawley and Wayne Soon) The political activities of Taiwanese during the first half of the 20th century laid a foundation for later developments. They set the stage for Taiwanese participation within the KMT (Chinese Nationalist Party), for their engagement with tangwai politics (that is, the participation of non-KMT candidates) in local elections, and for their creation of the Taiwan Independence Movement at home and abroad. <Accessed 2020-01-28>

Taiwan, Shut Out From WHO, Confronts Deadly Wuhan Coronavirus (2020-01-28)
(The Diplomat, By Nick Aspinwall) Geng’s comments were predictably met with derision in Taiwan, where citizens concerned with the outbreak’s rapid global spread see this as the wrong time for Beijing to play cross-strait politics. <Accessed 2020-01-28>

Eric Chu Hints He Will Not Run for KMT Chairperson (2020-01-29)
(Taipei Times, By Lee I-chia) Former New Taipei City mayor Eric Chu (朱立倫) yesterday implied that he might not run in the by-election for Chinese Nationalist Party (KMT) chairperson. Chu made the statement on Facebook yesterday morning, beginning the post by saying: “Making Taiwan better is the KMT’s responsibility. The party’s transformation will include me, but the by-election does not need to include me.” <Accessed 2020-02-02>

DPP's You Elected Legislative Speaker (Update) (2020-02-01)
(CNA, By Chen Chun-hua and Joseph Yeh) Veteran politician You Si-kun (游錫堃) of the ruling Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) was elected speaker of the Legislative Yuan on Saturday on the opening day of a new legislative session, garnering 73 votes from the 113 lawmakers. <Accessed 2020-02-02>


Taiwan's Foreign Relations

Taiwan Thanks Abe, Trudeau for Supporting WHO Bid (2020-01-30)
(CNA, By Emerson Lim) Taiwan's foreign ministry on Thursday thanked Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe and Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau for supporting Taiwan's participation in the World Health Organization (WHO) in light of the global health crisis represented by the outbreak of a new coronavirus in China. <Accessed 2020-01-31> 

Taiwan’s Relations with India: Partisan Divides (2020-01-28)
(The Diplomat, By Timothy S. Rich, Andi Dahmer, Madelynn Einhorn, and Vasabjit Banerjee) A stronger relationship between India and Taiwan could increase tourism, improve research and development, and promote educational ties, all of which are mutually beneficial. Whether India would be able to avoid any negative ramifications from China is unclear, as Beijing typically does not retaliate against countries that engage economically with Taiwan. <Accessed 2020-01-28>

Taiwan Thanks EU for Supporting Its Participation in the WHO (2020-01-31)
(CNA, By Ku Chuan and Matthew Mazzetta) Taiwan's Ministry of Foreign Affairs (MOFA) on Friday thanked the European Union (EU) for supporting Taiwan's participation in the World Health Organization (WHO), amid a growing international response to a new form of coronavirus. <Accessed 2020-02-02>

Taiwan's Agreements with EU Apply to U.K. During Brexit Transition (2020-01-31)
(CNA, By Emerson Lim) Taiwan's foreign ministry said Friday that existing arrangements with the European Union (EU) will continue to apply to the United Kingdom (U.K.) during the eleven-month transition period after Brexit takes place. The U.K. is set to depart from the regional bloc at 11 p.m. on Jan. 31 local time, which falls on the morning of Feb. 1 in Taipei. <Accessed 2020-02-02>

EU Representative Hopes Taiwan Can Be Part of European Green Deal (2020-01-31)
(CNA, By Ku Chuan and Joseph Yeh) The European Union's top representative to Taipei said Friday that he hopes Taiwan can join the European Green Deal, an EU initiative aimed at transitioning to zero greenhouse gas emissions by 2050. "Taiwan is a regional leader (in terms of green energy), so we want Taiwan to be our partner also in the European Green Deal," said Filip Grzegorzewski, head of the European Economic and Trade Office (EETO) in Taiwan. <Accessed 2020-02-02>
U.S.-China Relations
Pompeo Calls China’s Ruling Party ‘Central Threat of Our Times’ (2020-01-30)
(New York Times, By Marc Santora) Secretary of State Mike Pompeo made the stark statement at a meeting with his British counterpart, where he also talked up the prospect of a U.S. trade deal with Britain. <Accessed 2020-02-04>

Trump Administration Restricts Entry Into U.S. From China
 (2020-01-31)
(New York Times, By Michael Corkery and Annie Karni) The travel disruption sent shocks through the stock market and rattled industries that depend on the flow of goods and people between the world’s two largest economies. <Accessed 2020-02-04>

Trump’s Phase One Deal With China Misunderstands Global Trade
 (2020-02-01)
(Foreign Policy, By Yukon Huang, Jeremy Smith) Yet in the long term, the deal may have more losers than meets the eye. Any violation of the agreement’s commitments would trigger an unusual dispute resolution mechanism that might ultimately destroy the rules-based international trading system created and nurtured by the United States over the past century. <Accessed 2020-02-01>

Harvard Researcher Charged Over Undisclosed China Links (2020-02-01)
(The Diplomat, By Ankit Panda) U.S. officials have argued that the TTP is a major effort sanctioned by the Chinese Communist Party’s Organization Department to accelerate economic espionage in critical technologies to benefit China’s indigenous development of specific technologies. <Accessed 2020-02-01>

Major US Airlines Suspend Flights Between US, China (2020-02-01)
(The Diplomat, By Associated Press) Delta Air Lines and American Airlines said Friday they will suspend all flights between the U.S. and China, making them the first U.S.-based airlines to do so and joining several international carriers that have stopped flying to China as the coronavirus outbreak continues to spread. <Accessed 2020-02-01>
China's Domestic Politics and Foreign Relations
Domestic Politics in Mainland China

Xi Warns China Facing ‘Grave Situation’ (2020-01-26)
(Taipei Times) Chinese President Xi Jinping (習近平) yesterday convened a Chinese Communist Party politburo meeting in Beijing, saying the nation is facing a grave situation, while Hong Kong declared the outbreak an “emergency” — the territory’s highest warning tier — as authorities ramped up measures to reduce the risk of further infections from a new coronavirus. <Accessed 2020-01-26> 

China Is Estimated to Be the World’s Second Largest Arms Maker after US (2020-01-27)
(South China Morning Post, By Catherine Wong) New research suggests China is now the world’s second largest arms producer – after the United States and ahead of Russia – and it is becoming less dependent on foreign weapons and military technology. <Accessed 2020-02-04>

China Extends Holiday to Buy Time as Virus Spreads
 (2020-01-28)
(Taipei Times/AFP) China yesterday extended its biggest national holiday to buy time in the fight against a viral epidemic, and neighboring Mongolia closed its border, after the death toll spiked to 81, despite unprecedented quarantine measures. <Accessed 2020-01-28> 

How to Tell What’s Really Happening With the Wuhan Virus (2020-01-28)
(Foreign Policy, By James Palmer) There’s less reason for the central government to squash the numbers, and the enormous leap from 41 to nearly 2,000 cases this week may be the result of the sudden interest by Beijing in the epidemic. But government officials are also in the routine—and hard-to-break—habit of concealing information from the public, especially negative information. <Accessed 2020-01-28>

With Its New Aircraft Carrier, Is China Now a Blue Water Navy? (2020-01-28)
(The Diplomat, By James Maclaren) Many naval analysts anxiously ask: Is this the case? Or is China’s new warship a paper tiger — a visually impressive statement that nevertheless will do little to challenge the United States’ and the West’s pre-eminence in carrier aviation and operations? <Accessed 2020-01-28>

China Virus Outbreak May Wallop Economy, Financial Markets (2020-01-28)
(The Diplomat, By Elaine Kurtenbach) The World Economic Forum estimates that pandemics — cross-border outbreaks like the flu that killed 50 million people a century ago — have the potential to cause an $570 billion in annual economic losses. <Accessed 2020-01-28>

W.H.O. Declares Global Emergency as Wuhan Coronavirus Spreads (2020-01-30)
(New York Times, By Sui-Lee Wee, Donald G. McNeil Jr. and Javier C. Hernández) The World Health Organization declared a global health emergency on Thursday as the coronavirus outbreak spread well beyond China, where it emerged last month. <Accessed 2020-02-04>

China Increasingly Walled Off as Countries Seek to Stem Coronavirus (2020-02-01)
(New York Times, By Alexandra Stevenson) The number of deaths from the virus outbreak rose to 304 and the number of cases soared to more than 14,000 as Australia and Japan joined the United States in imposing travel restrictions. <Accessed 2020-02-04>

Market Players Wonder: Is China’s Coronavirus the Next Black Swan? (2020-02-01)
(Foreign Policy, By Keith Johnson, James Palmer) To the extent that the virus outbreak affects China’s economic growth and domestic appetite this year, it could call into question those already ambitious targets. Any economic slowdown, for instance, would likely dent China’s world-beating thirst for oil, which might make it harder to meet targets for purchases of U.S. crude. <Accessed 2020-02-01>

The Coronavirus and Governance (2020-02-01)
(The Diplomat, By Mie Oba) There have been many examples in the past, both in authoritarian regimes with no accountability and in democracies, where leaders and authorities have failed in their duty to disclose information to the people in favor of saving their own skin or for immediate gains, as well as examples of the state using information control to suppress inconvenient information or objections. <Accessed 2020-02-01>


Beijing and Hong Kong

Hong Kong’s Greatness Is Slipping Away
 (2020-01-28)
(Foreign Policy, By Hilton Yip) At the core of this is the hard-line stance taken by the authorities against protesters and the general public. The police have shut down approved marches forcefully with tear gas and charges, used brute force in arrests, and targeted journalists and even paramedics. <Accessed 2020-01-28>

A Divided Hong Kong Confronts the Arrival of the Coronavirus (2020-01-28)
(New York Times, By Austin Ramzy) Hong Kong announced the shutdown of major rail passenger links and limits on flights coming from the mainland. China will stop issuing visas for individual travelers to the territory. <Accessed 2020-02-04>


China's Foreign Relations

Countries Evaluate Evacuation of Citizens Amid Wuhan Coronavirus Panic (2020-01-28)
(The Diplomat, By Mari Yamaguchi) Countries with citizens in the central Chinese city of Wuhan that’s the epicenter of a viral outbreak are planning evacuations as the number of illnesses grow and China takes drastic measures to try to stop the spread of the virus. <Accessed 2020-01-28>

Britain Defies Trump Plea to Ban Huawei From 5G Network (2020-01-28)
(New York Times, By Adam Satariano) Britain said on Tuesday that it would not ban equipment made by the Chinese technology giant Huawei from being used in its new high-speed 5G wireless network, the starkest sign yet that an American campaign against the telecommunications company is faltering. <Accessed 2020-02-04>

Who’s Afraid of the First China-Russia Road Bridge? (2020-01-28)
(The Diplomat, By Yuan Jiang) In fact, the warmer climate and more lucrative salaries in China are more attractive to the majority of Chinese than the prospect of working in Russia. Furthermore, Professor Alexander Lukin from the Moscow State Institute of International Relations argues that “the PRC has never made official territorial claims against Russia, even in the most strained periods of Soviet-Chinese relations.” <Accessed 2020-01-28>

What CPEC Means for China’s Middle East Relations (2020-01-28)
(The Diplomat, By Nader Habibi and Hans Yue Zhu) CPEC will significantly enhance China’s capacity to expand her economic and strategic relations with energy-rich Middle Eastern countries. CPEC will also allow China to connect the Arab countries to the Belt and Road network in Central Asia and Eurasia. Due to their rivalries with Iran, many of these countries were reluctant to use Iran’s transit routes for that purpose. <Accessed 2020-01-28>

CPEC and Beyond: China and the US Fight For Influence In Pakistan (2020-01-28)
(The Diplomat, By Umair Jamal) On the other hand, Beijing’s footprint in terms of expanding its influence in Pakistan and the region continues to grow. The fact that Pakistan can rely on Beijing’s financial assurances regardless of their long-term costs is itself a proof of Washington’s waning foothold in Pakistan. <Accessed 2020-01-28>

The Future of Chinese Foreign Economic Policy Will Challenge U.S. Interests, Part 1: The Belt-and-Road Initiative and the Middle Income Trap (2020-01-29)
(Jamestown Foundation, By Sagatom Saha) However, many of China’s planned foreign economic initiatives—to include the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI), global value chain advancement, and renminbi (RMB) internationalization—will come at U.S. expense. <Accessed 2020-02-04>

New Wine Into New Wineskins: The Evolving Role of the PLA Navy Marine Corps in Amphibious Warfare and Other Mission Areas (2020-01-29)
(Jamestown Foundation, By Ying Yu Lin) Only in recent years has the PLA as a larger institution started to rethink the value and use of the Marine Corps—a change resulting from the PLAN’s improvements in capability, and China’s growing national power and increasing overseas interests. <Accessed 2020-02-04>

Countries Evaluate Evacuation of Citizens Amid Wuhan Coronavirus Panic (2020-02-01)
(The Diplomat, By Mari Yamaguchi) Countries with citizens in the central Chinese city of Wuhan that’s the epicenter of a viral outbreak are planning evacuations as the number of illnesses grow and China takes drastic measures to try to stop the spread of the virus. <Accessed 2020-02-01>

The Geopolitical Consequences of the Coronavirus Outbreak (2020-02-01)
(The Diplomat, By Ridvan Bari Urcosta) What if the most terrible scenarios about the coronavirus come true, and the disease outpaces the measures taken by the international community and China itself? The peak of the new epidemic in China may come in February; with that in mind, let us think about the possible geopolitical and geoeconomic consequences. <Accessed 2020-02-01>

China’s Belt and Road: After the Gold Rush, Pakistan Sees the Downside (2020-02-01)
(South China Morning Post, By Tom Hussain) The massive influx of Chinese machinery, coupled with a surge in consumer appetites for imported fuel and consumer goods, drove up Pakistan’s trade and current account deficits to unsustainable levels. <Accessed 2020-02-04>
Territorial Disputes, the Korean Peninsula, and Other Regional Issues
Territorial Disputes

Beijing Accuses US of ‘Deliberate Provocations’ in South China Sea as Warship Passes Spratly Islands (2020-01-28)
(South China Morning Post, By Keegan Elmer) The Chinese military lashed out at the United States for “deliberate provocations” during the Lunar New Year holiday after a US warship passed by the disputed Spratly Islands in the South China Sea on Saturday. <Accessed 2020-02-04>

Indonesia’s Latest Natuna Islands Spat With China Should Be a Wake-Up Call for Southeast Asia (2020-02-01)
(The Diplomat, By Ankit Panda) The fact that ASEAN this year is chaired by Vietnam, which has been the most forward-leaning of the territorial claimants in the South China Sea against China in recent years, should facilitate matters, too. It’s time for Southeast Asia to stand together against China; Indonesia can and should lead the way. <Accessed 2020-02-01>

Other Regional Issues

PacNet #4 – Despite Stumbles, US Engagement with ASEAN Runs Deep (2020-01-24)
(Pacific Forum, By Satu Limaye) Current US-Southeast Asia relations are wider and deeper on both sides than in the past two generations. <Accessed 2020-02-04>

Russia’s Strategy in Central Asia: Inviting India to Balance China (2020-01-28)
(The Diplomat, By Yuan Jiang) However, the idea of India linking up with the EAEU brings a sense of déjà vu. Like the enlargement of the Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO), this appears to be a Russian tactic of using India to balance China’s increasing economic power in Central Asia. <Accessed 2020-01-28>

How to Prevent US-China Rivalry from Turning Southeast Asia into a Conflict Zone (2020-01-30)
(South China Morning Post, By David Lampton and Wang Jisi) The US and China are in what Henry Kissinger recently called “the foothills” of a cold war. Grey-zone conflict – coercion exerted by means just short of undeniable military force – is mounting in Southeast and East Asia. <Accessed 2020-02-04>

Critical Technologies and Great Power Competition (2020-02-01)
(The Diplomat, By Ankit Panda) The United States remains a hotbed for global innovation, but maintaining this edge will require careful thinking about how best to tap into a strong national industrial base, lest American technological and manufacturing advantages erode. Effectively competing in the years to come will require strong private-public partnerships, in particular. <Accessed 2020-02-01>

Can the U.S.-U.K. Special Relationship Weather the Huawei Storm? (2020-02-01)
(Foreign Policy, By Robbie Gramer, Lara Seligman) But the Huawei debate could pose significant roadblocks to the national security side of the so-called “special relationship” between Washington and London, currently led by two like-minded conservative populist leaders. Johnson, pushing through a Brexit deal with the EU after three messy years of negotiations, is banking on swiftly clenching a new U.S.-U.K. trade deal to ease concerns over Britain leaving the EU common market. <Accessed 2020-02-01>

Contact: James Lee, Senior Editor 

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New Publication Elizabeth Freund Larus, Politics and Society in Contemporary China, 2nd edition (Lynne Rienner Publishers)
New Publication John F. Copper, ""Cross-Strait Relations in the Wake of Taiwan’s January 2016 Election: Taiwan’s Narratives" in Chineseness and Modernity in a Changing China: Essays in Honour of Professor Wang Gungwu, edited by Yongnian Zheng and Litao Zhao (World Scientific)
New Publication James Lee, American Diplomacy and Export-Oriented Industrialization on Taiwan (Journal of East Asian Studies)
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New Publication Peter Mattis and Matthew Brazil, Chinese Communist Espionage: An Intelligence Primer (U.S. Naval Institute Press)
New Publication Takashi Inoguchi and Lien Thi Quynh Le, The Development of Global Legislative Politics: Rousseau and Locke Writ Global (Springer Singapore) (includes analysis of East Asian cases)
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