::: TSR Weekly Report
2013-02-17 | NO.17(7) epaper |
North Korea's Third Nuclear Test
China Summons North Korea Envoy, Sternly Protests Nuclear Test (2013-02-12)
(Reuters) Chinese Foreign Minister Yang Jiechi summoned the North Korean ambassador to China and to protest sternly against the North’s third nuclear test, the ministry said on its website.

Nuclear Test Poses Big Challenge to China’s New Leader (2013-02-13)
(New York Times, By Jane Perlez) The nuclear test by North Korea, in defiance of warnings by China, leaves the new Chinese leader, Xi Jinping, with a choice: Does he upset North Korea just a bit by agreeing to stepped up United Nations sanctions, or does he rattle the regime by pulling the plug on infusions of Chinese oil and investments that keep North Korea afloat?

China Looms Over Response to Blast Test by North Korea (2013-02-13)
(New York Times, By Neil MacFarquhar and Jane Perlez) As impatient as China might be with North Korea, there is little chance that the new Chinese leader, Xi Jinping, will move quickly to change the nation’s long-held policy of propping up the walled-off government that has long served as a buffer against closer intrusion by the United States on the Korean Peninsula.

Lips and Teeth (2013-02-13)
(Foreign Policy, By Shen Dingli) Let's face it: China has reached a point where it needs to cut its losses and cut North Korea loose. 
Diaoyutai Disputes Resurface
Japan Official Calls for Military Hot Line with China (2013-02-13)
(Wall Street Journal) The Japanese government wants to move ahead with the creation of an emergency military hot line with China, Parliamentary Secretary for Defense Masahisa Sato said.

U.S. Commander in Japan Casts Blame on China (2013-02-15)
(Wall Street Journal, By Yuka Hayashi) The highest-ranking U.S. military commander in Japan expressed concern about Tokyo's intensifying territorial dispute with China, calling it "a very bad situation," and blamed the Chinese navy for what he termed "a provocative act that can become dangerous."

Radar Incident Obscures Beijing’s Conciliatory Turn toward Japan (2013-02-15)
(China Brief 13(4), Jamestown Foundation, By Andrew Chubb) Radar-locking incidents aside, Beijing's behavior in recent weeks seems aimed at calming tensions.

China-Japan Maritime Relations: The Case for Cautious Optimism (2013-02-14)
(PacNet #11, Pacific Forum, CSIS, By James Manicom) There has recently been a flurry of diplomatic activity between China and Japan that reflects the first positive turn in the maritime relationship since Japan nationalized the disputed Senkaku/Diaoyu islands in September 2012. 
U.S. Pivot to Asia and Sino-U.S. Engagement
Rethinking the US-China-Taiwan Triangle (2013-02-13)
(Asia Times, By Brantly Womack) Taiwan’s future is with China, not against China. However, no new image of the triangular relationship of Washington, Beijing, and Taipei has replaced the security triangle formed in the Cold War era.

Giants, but Not Hegemons
(New York Times, By Zbigniew Brezinski) Today, many fear that the emerging American-Chinese duopoly must inevitably lead to conflict. But I do not believe that wars for global domination are a serious prospect in what is now the Post-Hegemonic Age.

China Muscles US in Pacific (2013-02-16)
(The Age, By John Garnaut) Within two decades the United States will be forced out of the western Pacific, says a senior Chinese military officer, amid concerns that increasingly militarised great-power rivalry could lead to war. 

Will China Ever Be No. 1? (2013-02-16)
(Foreign Policy, By Graham Allison and Robert D. Blackwill) Will China continue to grow three times faster than the United States to become the No. 1 economy in the world in the decade ahead? Does China aspire to be the No. 1 power in Asia and ultimately the world? As it becomes a great power, will China follow the path taken by Japan in becoming an honorary member of the West? Lee Kuan Yew's answers to the questions above are: yes, yes, and no. 
Military Balance and Arms Sales
US Missile Defense Test Successful (2013-02-15)
(Taipei Times) It was significant that the test was conducted after North Korea’s third nuclear test, its reported imminent test of a new ballistic missile and China’s “aggressiveness” in the East China Sea. 

More HF-3 Missile Deployment Mulled (2013-02-17)
(Taipei Times) The locally developed supersonic anti-ship missile may be deployed on two more classes of frigate. China also appears interested in developing such missiles.

Taiwan’s Incomplete Third Line of Defense for National Security (2013-02-13)
(Brookings, By Kwei-Bo Huang) Seeking to provide a clear and effective blueprint for Taiwan’s national security, in May 2011 President Ma Ying-jeou enunciated “three lines of defense.” Two of the three legs have been implemented with some success, but one of the lines has been obviously deficient so far. 
China's Rise and Its Domestic Issues
China Eclipses U.S. As Biggest Trading Nation (2013-02-11)
(Bloomberg) China surpassed the U.S. to become the world’s biggest trading nation last year as measured by the sum of exports and imports of goods, official figures from both countries show. 

Vows of Change in China Belie Private Warning (2013-02-15)
(New York Times, By Chris Buckley) When China’s new leader, Xi Jinping, visited the country’s south to promote himself before the public as an audacious reformer following in the footsteps of Deng Xiaoping, he had another message to deliver to Communist Party officials behind closed doors. 

Can Xi Jinping Grow Political Power Out of the Barrel of a Gun? (2013-02-15)
(China Brief 13(4), Jamestown Foundation, By Peter Mattis) A factions-based approach suggests analysts should look for the political motivations behind Xi’s new initiatives rather than succumbing to cynicism about the latest anti-corruption drive that seems destined to fail without structural political reform. 

Editor: Dalton Lin

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