::: TSR Weekly Report
2013-01-20 | NO.17(3) epaper |
Diaoyutai Disputes Resurface
China ‘to Survey Disputed East China Sea Islands’ (2013-01-15)
(BBC) China says it is to conduct a survey of disputed East China Sea islands, amid a bitter diplomatic row with Japan.

Chinese Official Urges Talks with Japan Over Islets (2013-01-18)
(AP) Chinese People’s Political Consultative Conference Chairman Jia Qinglin called for talks with Japan over a disputed island chain, in an apparent attempt by Beijing to cool tensions that have seen both sides scramble jet fighters to the area in recent days.

U.S. Calls for ‘Cooler heads’ in Dispute Over Asian Islands (2013-01-18)
(New York Times, By Martin Fackler) A top American diplomat called for “cooler heads to prevail” in an emotional quarrel over disputed islands that has raised tensions in Asia, and he urged the leaders of China and Japan to begin private consultations to avoid a potentially dangerous escalation. 

As Dispute Over Islands Escalates, Japan and China Send Fighter Jets to the Scene (2013-01-19)
(New York Times, By Jane Perlez) For the first time supersonic Chinese and Japanese military fighters were in the air together since the dispute over the islands erupted last year, significantly increasing the risk of a mistake that could lead to armed conflict.

China Calls US Warning on Diaoyutais ‘Betrayal’ (2013-01-20)
(AFP) Veiled US warnings to Beijing not to challenge Japan’s control of disputed islands encouraged Tokyo’s “dangerously right-leaning” government and “betrayed” Washington’s vow of neutrality, Chinese state media said.  

Taiwan, Japan Negotiate Dates for Fisheries Meeting (2013-01-14)
(Taipei Times) Little progress was made at last year’s meeting, but officials from the two countries said they hope this year’s meeting will remedy that.

MND Has Contingency Plans, No Drill Plans (2013-01-16)
(China Post) The Ministry of National Defense said it has no plans for military exercises near the Diaoyutai Islands this year.

Regional Issues and Japan Policy
Neighbors Grow More Wary of China (2013-01-13)
(Wall Street Journal, By Patrick Barta) In the past, Chinese officials have dismissed the idea of a backlash against Chinese policy and have blamed the U.S. for stirring up opposition while bolstering defense ties in Asia, as part of a strategic pivot designed to "contain" China.

Asia’s Democratic Security Diamond (2012-12-27)
(Project Syndicate, Shinzo Abe) I envisage a strategy whereby Australia, India, Japan, and the US state of Hawaii form a diamond to safeguard the maritime commons stretching from the Indian Ocean region to the western Pacific. I am prepared to invest, to the greatest possible extent, Japan’s capabilities in this security diamond.

Vexed by Beijing, Tokyo Tries Other Ties
(Wall Street Journal, By Yuka Hayashi, Alexander Martin and James Hookway) In only three weeks since taking office, Mr. Abe and his new administration has been fast at work to improve Japan's long-standing relations with Southeast Asia.

Abe’s Diamond Defense Diplomacy (2013-01-17)
(Japan Real Time Report, Yuka Hayashi) Prime Minister Shinzo Abe offered a surprisingly frank preview of his regional diplomacy and defense in a recent little-noticed essay. 

South China Sea Disputes
China to Issue New Official Map of ‘Full’ Territory (2013-01-15)
(Taipei Times) The new map will for the first time display the entirety of the PRC’s claimed territory on the same scale as continental China.

MOFA Decries Philippines’ Plan to Refurbish Airport (2013-01-17)
(Taipei Times) The recent moves by the Philippines regarding developments on Zhongye Island in the South China Sea have constituted infringements on the rights and interests of ROC, MOFA said in a statement. 
U.S. Policy and Sino-U.S. Engagement
China’s Space Activities Raising U.S. Satellite Security Concerns (2013-01-14)
(AP) The United States is concerned about China's expanding ability to disrupt the most sensitive U.S. military and intelligence satellites, according to multiple sources in the U.S. government and outside space experts.

China-US Ties Possibly ‘Adrift’: Journal Article (2013-01-20)
(Taipei Times, By William Lowther) Washington experts have predicted that since Chinese Vice President Xi Jinping will not become China’s president until the National People’s Congress in March, China-US ties “may be adrift in the coming months.”

Big Bets and Black Swans: A Presidential Briefing Book (2013-01-17)
(Brookings) What follows is a series of memos designed to present President Obama with a suggested “to do” list for the major issues of our time. Specifically related to China, Mr. Obama is advised to put big bets on “Bringing Beijing Back In” and “Calming the Eastern Seas” and is reminded a black swan event of “China in Revolution and War.” 

Cross-Strait Issues
Following the 18th Party Congress: Moving Forward Step-by-Step (2013-01-17)
(China Leadership Monitor, Hoover Institution, By Alan D. Romberg) The 18th Party Congress laid out a “steady on course” approach to cross-Strait relations, continuing to emphasize economic, cultural, and educational exchanges in the near term while seeking to lay a foundation of political trust for future political and security dialogues, including a peace accord. 
Military Balance and Arms Sales
Uncharted Strait (2013-01-14)
(Brookings, By Richard C. Bush III) As China rises and seeks to reshape East Asia more to its liking, how the United States responds will be a critical variable. It needs the right mix of accommodation and firmness. Giving way on Taiwan will neither pacify Beijing nor assure our allies.

Ma Defends Developments in Cross-Strait Relations
(Taipei Times) President Ma Ying-jeou defended developments in cross-strait relations as positive for foreign relations, and said the government will consider more arms procurements from the US to strengthen national defenses and maintain cross-strait peace. 
Taiwan's Domestic Issues and Foreign Relations
Su Unveils Plan to Recall President Ma (2013-01-14)
(China Post) DPP is prepared to launch a recall motion against President Ma Ying-jeou, said the party chairman.

Int’l Pact Could Benefit Service Sector (2013-01-17)
(China Post) U.S. trade representative Ron Kirk notified the U.S. Congress that the Obama administration intends to enter negotiations on a new trade agreement on the ISA with a total of 20 economies, including Taiwan.

Speaker Wang to Attend US Inauguration (2013-01-19)
(China Post) Legislative Speaker Wang Jin-pyng will lead Taiwan's delegation at the second inauguration of U.S. President Barack Obama, according to the Ministry of Foreign Affairs. 
China's Rise and Its Domestic Issues
The 18th Party Congress and Foreign Policy: The Dog that Did Not Bark? (2013-01-14)
(China Leadership Monitor, Hoover Institution, By Michael D. Swaine) Future policy indicators are usually contained within the congress work report delivered by the current CCP general secretary, while power structure indicators are contained in the official membership roster of the new CCP Central Committee, Politburo, and Politburo Standing Committee.

Anxieties Surfaces Over Reform Agenda (2013-01-18)
(China Real Time Report, By Russell Leigh Moses) It’s growing increasingly apparent from the tone of reform-related commentaries in the People’s Daily that it’s more than just the shy, the unsure, and the slow holding up more rapid reform. There is also outright opposition.

In China, Widening Discontent among the Communist Party Faithful (2013-01-20)
(New York Times, By Edward Wong) Barely two months into their jobs, the Communist Party’s new leaders are being confronted by the challenges posed by a constituency that has generally been one of the party’s most ardent supporters: the middle-class and well-off Chinese.

Pressure Rises on China to Scrap One-Child Policy (2013-01-18)
(Wall Street Journal, By Laurie Burkitt) China's top national statistician called for changing the country's one-child policy because of the nation's shrinking pool of workers. 

Editor: Dalton Lin

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