::: TSR Weekly Report
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2012-11-18 | NO.16(47) epaper |
China's Leadership Succession
Ending Congress, China Presents New Leadership Headed by Xi Jinping (2012-11-15)
(New York Times) The Chinese Communist Party unveiled a new leadership slate headed by Xi Jinping, followed by Li Keqiang, Zhang Dejiang, Yu Zhengsheng, Liu Yunshan, Wang Qishan and Zhang Gaoli.

The Communist Party’s Reform Punt (2012-11-15)
(China Real Time Report, By Russell Leigh Moses) There’s a decidedly conservative cast to the Communist Party Politburo Standing Committee unveiled in Beijing. The candidates that might have carried reform further did not win spots.

Ex-Leader Wins in Beijing Power Play (2012-11-15)
(Wall Street Journal, By Jeremy Page and Bob Davis) The question now is whether the new leaders linked to Jiang Zemin are more interested in replicating the aggressive economic reforms he pursued in the 1990s, or preserving the profits that have accrued to many members of the political elite since then.

Liberal Background, but Limited Leeway, for a New Premier (2012-11-16)
(New York Times, By Andrew Jacobs) Despite Li Keqiang’s unremarkable run at the helm of two provinces and a reputation as a deferential party loyalist, some of his former classmates hold out hope that he may help nudge China’s opaque, authoritarian system toward greater openness.

China’s Aristocratic Class Wields Its Influence to Shape Politics (2012-11-13)
(New York Times, By Ian Johnson) Despite rising controversy over their prominent role in government and business, China’s princelings, who number in the hundreds, are emerging as an aristocratic class that has an increasingly important say in ruling the country. 

Family Ties and Hobnobbing Trump Merit at China Helm
 (2012-11-18)
(New York Times, By Edward Wong) The Communist Party and its acolytes like to brag that the party promotion system is a meritocracy, but critics, including a number of party insiders, say that China’s secretive selection process, rooted in personal networks, has actually created a meritocracy of mediocrity. 

China’s Other Transition
 (2012-11-12)
(Foreign Policy, By Dean Cheng) The new PLA leadership will oversee the largest standing army in the world, and one that has been steadily improving its capabilities. Many questions remain on how the military will evolve under incoming chairman Xi Jinping. Here are four of the biggest.

U.S. Pivot to Asia and Sino-U.S. Engagement
Panetta Heads to Asia, As Obama Administration Makes Strategic ‘Pivot’ (2012-11-13)
(Washington Post, By Craig Whitlock) Just days after winning a second term, the Obama administration is intensifying its focus on Asia, with the Pentagon chief, secretary of state and the president himself making visits to the region to underline the White House’s foreign policy priorities for the next four years.

No Cold War—US Will Ensure China Follows the ‘Road Rules’ (2012-11-12)
(Sydney Morning Herald, Geoff Garrett) The US cannot contain China and isn't trying to. It wants to continue to engage with China and worries it will need to hedge in case China's rise turns malign. But most of all, the US wants to shape China's rise, so that it follows the US-led but widely shared ''rules of the road.''

US or China? Clinton Says Australia Needn’t Choose (2012-11-15)
(AP) U.S. Secretary of State Hillary Clinton assured Australians they do not have to choose between the United States, their most important security ally, and China, their primary trading partner, as she ended a visit to the important Pacific ally.

Obama’s Road to Myanmar Is Paved with New Asia Intentions (2012-11-18)
(New York Times, By Peter Baker and Jane Perlez) Mr. Obama will make a historic visit to Myanmar to mark the emergence of the long-isolated country and encourage its migration from China’s orbit toward a more democratic future with the West. 

East Asia Summit: The Path from Base Camp (2012-11-15)
(PacNet #73, Pacific Forum, CSIS, By Matthew P. Goodman) Unlike last year, when just showing up at the East Asia Summit was accomplishment enough, the measure of success at this year’s EAS will be the president’s ability to nudge forward a concrete agenda that demonstrates the US commitment to institution-building in Asia and advances US interests there. 

U.S.-China Ties in Flux As Rosters Fill (2012-11-16)
(Wall Street Journal, By Bob Davis) While the question of who will lead the U.S. and China is now settled, relations between the two largest economic powers are still in flux as both countries fill out the roster of officials responsible for the international economy and as new, contentious issues arise. 

The Problem of ‘Mutual Trust’ (2012-11-15)
(New York Times, By Yan Xuetong) Policy makers in Beijing and Washington should keep in mind that mutual trust is a result rather than a premise of long-term cooperation. Instead of “mutual trust,” Beijing and Washington should drop the wishful thinking and spend more effort on building a realistic relationship based on their interests. 

South China Sea Disputes
Tensions on the Table at Asean Summit (2012-11-15)
(Wall Street Journal, By Natasha Brereton-Fukui) Territorial tensions will dominate a gathering of Southeast Asia's leaders in Cambodia this weekend as the U.S. and China look to exert influence in a region plagued by deepening disputes over resource-rich seas. 

China’s Boomerang Diplomacy (2012-11-16)
(YaleGlobal, By Stein Tonnesson) China’s treatment of East Asian neighbors hits back and undermines its peaceful development. It’s unlikely that there is some sinister plan behind China’s boomerang policy. Instead, the more likely reasons are mental attitude, inertia and fixation. 
Diaoyutai Disputes Resurface
US Should Support East China Sea Initiative (2012-11-14)
(Taipei Times, By Dennis Hickey) Now that the US presidential election is over, it is time for Washington to stop sitting on the sidelines and energetically support the “East China Sea Peace Initiative.” To do otherwise could invite disaster. 
DPP Searches for New China Stance; Cross-Strait Issues
Taiwan, China Not Ready for High-Level Talks: Expert (2012-11-13)
(CNA) Taiwan and China are not ready for higher-level political talks at the moment, and should first focus on “softer” issues, such as cultural and educational exchanges, a local expert said. 

China Reform Key to Cross-Strait Ties: MAC (2012-11-13)
(China Post) Mainland Affairs Council Deputy Minister Lin Chu-chia said that whether the Chinese government undertakes reform after its 18th national congress is key to the stability and harmony of cross-strait relations. 

Xi Jinping to Keep Taiwan ‘Status Quo’: Academics (2012-11-15)
(Taipei Times) US’ policy toward Asia, China’s internal situation, and whether Taiwan elects a government that rejects the ‘one China’ policy are the three factors affecting China’s policy towards Taiwan.

Xi Jinping to Change Course on Taiwan Policy: Former Minister (2012-11-16)
(CNA) The Communist Party of China's new leader Xi Jinping is not expected to follow outgoing President Hu Jintao's Taiwan policy and is likely to change course, Su Chi, a former mainland affairs minister, said. 

PRC Wants More ‘Interaction’ with Taiwan: Academic (2012-11-17)
(Taipei Times) Shen Dingli said mainland China eventually wants one peace settlement and hopes for unification, but he stressed that he meant unification based on agreement with “the people living across the Strait.” 

DPP Members Quarrel Over China Affairs (2012-11-18)
(China Post) DPP officials have gone head-to-head with each other over next week's discussions on forming a China affairs committee. 

PLA and Military Balance
An Aircraft Carrier’s Relevance to China’s A2/AD Strategy (2012-11-13)
(PacNet #72, Pacific Forum, CSIS, By Sukjoon Yoon) The existence of Chinese aircraft carriers has provoked a debate among the US and its allies. The received wisdom is that China’s current A2/AD strategy in the East Asian seas will soon be amended, and that a Chinese declaration of “no-go-zones” is more than likely.

Taiwan Test-Fires New ‘Carrier Killer’ Anti-Ship Missile
 (2012-11-13)
(Taipei Times) Taiwan’s top military research institute last month test-fired a powerful new anti-ship missile that could send a strong signal to China as it launches its first aircraft carrier. 
U.S.-Taiwan Relations
Joseph Wu Becomes DPP’s Representative to U.S. (2012-11-12)
(CNA) Joseph Wu, a former head of the Mainland Affairs Council under the previous Democratic Progressive Party administration, will become the party's representative to the United States, DPP Chairman Su Tseng-chang announced.

Washington ‘Pleased’ with DPP Office (2012-11-14)
(Taipei Times) The US government is pleased that the DPP wants to improve its relationship with Washington, but some sources within the Obama administration said there would be “caution” in dealing directly with the opposition party from a democratic state.

U.S. Formally Accepts King As New Enovy: MOFA (2012-11-14)
(China Post) The United States government has officially agreed to the assignment of Taiwan's new de facto ambassador to the U.S, King Pu-tsung, Foreign Minister David Lin said. 

Defense Official Confident US Military Ties are Strong (2012-11-13)
(Taipei Times) Taiwan is very much on the US’ radar and remains an important component of Washington’s strategy in the West Pacific, a top defense official said in an interview with Defense News
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